BMIE Market 59716

Madison County, Montana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,795 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	820 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,798 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,137 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$141,716 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,576 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,341 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±924 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,094,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±320,622 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	64.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 59716
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	105.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+29.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.54) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 59716. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.54, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Montana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 218, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.3	64	40%	+25.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.3	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	38.2	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,795	43	40%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	141,716	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	820	46	20%	+9.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	35%	+18.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	122.6	3	25%	+0.8
Population (ACS)	1,795	43	20%	+8.5
Median household income (ACS)	141,716	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.4	23	50%	+11.6
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	30%	+16.2
20-year restaurant growth	29.4	52	20%	+10.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 7 · Italian 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Burgers 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Bar 26 · Casual dining 15 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alberto's Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	118 Ousel Falls Rd	open
Alpenglow	Café · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	995 Settlement Trail	open
Andiamos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	48 Big Sky Resort Road	open
Beartooth Pub and Rec	Bar		995 Settlement Trail	open
Beehive Basin Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		245 Town Center Ave	open
Big Sky Noodles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	Plaza Open Space 1 Town Center	open
Big Sky Sugarbuzz	Dessert		81 Snowy Mountain Cir	open
Blindside Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	47 Town Center Ave D1	open
Block 3 Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	145 Town Center Ave C	open
Blue Buddha Sushi Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	99 Town Center Ave A5	open
Blue Moon Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Pizza · Coffee	120 Big Pine Dr #1	open
Broken Spoke Bar & Casino	Bar · Casual dining		120 Big Pine Dr	open
Brothel Bikes	Bar		115 Aspen Leaf Dr	open
Buck's Big Sky	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	46625 Gallatin Rd	open
Bunker Deck & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2100 Black Otter Rd	open
By Word of Mouth/bywom bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	77 Aspen Leaf Dr	open
Caliber Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	80 Snowy Mountain Circle	open
Carabiner	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		60 Big Sky Resort Rd	open
Chet's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	50 Big Sky Resort Rd	open
China Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	112 Ousel Falls Rd	open
Choppers Grub & Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		77 Lone Peak Dr	open
Compass Cafe	Café	Coffee	25 Town Center Ave	open
Cortina Italian Chophouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	995 Settlement Trail	open
Cowboy Coffee Co. Cowboy Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	25 Town Center Ave	open
Dante's Inferno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1 Lone Mountain Trl	open
Enoteca Wine Bar	Bar		33 Lone Peak Dr	open
Everett's 8800	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · European	444 Andesite Ridge Rd	open
Horn and Cantle	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	750 Lone Mountain Ranch Rd	open
La Luna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	151 Center Lane Unit #2	open
Lone Peak Brewery & Taphouse	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		48 Market Pl	open
M By Alinea Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Mi Pueblito Taco Bus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1567 Lone Mountain Trl	open
Michaelangelo's Big Sky	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	75 Center Ln	open
Milkies Pizza and Pub	Bar	Pizza	77 Aspen Leaf Dr	open
Montana Jack	Casual dining · Bar		52 Big Sky Resort Rd	open
Moonlight Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	66 Mountain Loop Rd	open
Niseko Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	33 Lone Peak Dr	open
Olive B's Big Sky Bistro	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	151 Center Ln	open
Ousel and Spur Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	50 Ousel Falls Rd	open
Peaks Restaurant	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee · American	60 Big Sky Resort Rd	open
Scissorbills Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		39 Black Eagle Rd	open
Shedhorn Grill at Big Sky Resort	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	61 Foxtail Pine Rd	open
The Cabin Bar & Grill The Cabin Bar & Grill, Overgaard, AZ	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	39 Black Eagle Rd	open
The Clubhouse At Yellowstone Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		East Golfcourse Club Road	open
The Lone Perk	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	90 Lone Mountain Trail	open
The Montana Dinner Yurt	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · American	50 Big Sky Resort Rd	open
The Rocks Tasting Room and Liquor Store	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		33 Lone Peak Dr #102	open
Timberline Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Yellowstone Club Trl	open
Tips Up	Casual dining · Bar	American	76 Town Center Ave	open
Tres Toros Tacos & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	145 Town Center Ave B	open
Vista Bar	Bar		60 Big Sky Resort Rd	open
Warren Miller Lodge	Bar		1 Yellowstone Club Trl	open
Westward Social	Bar		52 Big Sky Resort Rd	open
Wrap Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	77 Aspen Leaf Dr	open
Yeti Dogs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	54 Big Sky Resort Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	19	17	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	18	16	11	4	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	17	14	10	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	9	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	17	14	9	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	8	3	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	21	17	11	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2004	20	17	11	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	18	15	9	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	19	16	9	4	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	12	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	22	19	14	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	21	19	14	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	22	19	13	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	23	19	12	6	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	22	17	9	7	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	25	20	12	8	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	25	21	14	7	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	22	19	13	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	25	21	14	7	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	22	19	13	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	26	23	16	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	30	23	16	6	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	29	23	17	5	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	30	24	18	5	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	30	24	17	5	—	6	NAICS2022
2023	28	22	16	4	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 59716. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.