BMIE Market 59730

Gallatin County, Montana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	943 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±193 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,790 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,341 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,305 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,714 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$1,014,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±176,047 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	686.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 59730
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	33.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 1–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.54) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	9 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 59730. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.54, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Montana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 218, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.9	61	40%	+24.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38	38	35%	+13.3
Market Momentum Score	9.3	9	25%	+2.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,399	48	40%	+19.3
Median household income (ACS)	98,305	80	40%	+32.0
Households (ACS)	943	48	20%	+9.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	35%	+3.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.8	35	25%	+8.8
Population (ACS)	2,399	48	20%	+9.6
Median household income (ACS)	98,305	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 9 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-28.6	9	50%	+4.6
10-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	30%	+3.1
20-year restaurant growth	-37.5	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 5 · Steakhouse 4 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 4 · Café 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
320 Ranch Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	205 Buffalo Horn Creek Rd	open
Buffalo Jump Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		75770 Gallatin Rd	open
Cafe 191	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	47995 Gallatin Rd #101	open
Cafe at the Inn	Café	Coffee	65840 Gallatin Rd	open
Corral Bar, Steakhouse & Motel	Bar	Steakhouse	42895 Gallatin Rd	open
Cosmic Cafe and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		47650 Gallatin Rd	open
Gallatin River House Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	45130 Gallatin Rd	open
Headwaters Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American	101 Madison Road	open
Mag Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45130 Gallatin Rd	open
McGill's Restaurant & Saloon	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	205 Buffalo Horn Creek Rd	open
Pinky G's Pizzeria Pinky G's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	47 Town Center Ave a1	open
Post Office Pizza Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	305 Mill St	open
Rancho Picante	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		400 Williams Rd E	open
Red Star Pizza & Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Pizza	70 Cliff Manor Ln	open
Stacey's Old Faithful Bar & Steakhouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	300 Mill St	open
Thai Basil Big Sky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	112 Ousel Falls Rd	open
The Horseshoe Bar	Bar		115 Aspen Leaf Dr Ste 1A	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	—	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	4	1	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	4	1	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	7	6	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	6	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	6	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	6	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	7	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	5	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	6	5	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	10	7	6	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	7	5	5	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	6	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	7	—	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	6	—	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	7	5	5	—	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	9	6	6	—	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	8	7	7	—	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	9	—	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	9	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	8	—	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	10	8	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 59730. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.