BMIE Market 60002

Lake County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	24,232 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,319 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±323 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,299 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,548 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,981 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,628 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,177 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$301,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,195 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	33.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	55 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60002
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+31.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+41.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	57 (range 50–64) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60002. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.3	84	40%	+33.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.5	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	77.4	77	25%	+19.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	24,232	85	40%	+33.9
Median household income (ACS)	104,981	84	40%	+33.6
Households (ACS)	9,319	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	31.0	72	35%	+25.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.7	31	25%	+7.7
Population (ACS)	24,232	85	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	104,981	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	31.0	72	30%	+21.5
20-year restaurant growth	83.3	78	20%	+15.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (134)

By cuisine

American 37 · Coffee 13 · Pizza 10 · Dessert 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Italian 5 · Mexican 5 · Burgers 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Steakhouse 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Asian 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 74 · Bar 44 · Casual dining 31 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 13 · Coffee shop 11 · Bakery 8 · Café 8 · Specialty food shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
15 Lakes Butcher & Mobile Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
15 Lakes Prime Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	919 Main St	open
45 North Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	43441 N. Route 45	open
Anastasia's Restaurant & Sports Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza · American	950 Hillside Ave	open
Ang Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 Hillside Ave	open
Antioch Moose Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		26020 W IL Route 173	open
Antioch Pizza Shop Antioch Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	994 Rte 59	open
Antioch Walmart Coffee Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		475 E Il Route 173	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	501 E Il Route 173	open
Asian Harbor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Chinese	508 Orchard St	open
B & C Values	Dessert		43361 N US Highway 45	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	442 Orchard St	open
Black Velvet Lounge	Bar		1200 Main St	open
Blarney Island Blarney Island	Bar		27760 W Grass Lake Rd	open
Blarney Island Blarney Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23553 Eagles Nest Rd	open
Blue Island Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	25489 W Il Route 173	open
Bo Bo's Channel Club	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Bobby's Lakeside Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	410 Lake St	open
Bon Voyage Great Food And Spirits	Casual dining · Bar		40160 N Bluff Lake Rd	open
Bootleggers Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	25491 Old Grass Lake	open
Bridgeport Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		42411 N Converse Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	338 W IL Rte 173	open
Burgundy Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	42411 N Converse Rd	open
Cafe Book	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	395 Lake St	open
Casa Ruiz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	934 Main St	open
Channel Lake Beach Bar	Bar · Casual dining		42273 N Woodbine Ave	open
Channelside Tavern	Bar		25164 North Ave	open
Chicago Ink & Research Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		97 Ida Ave	open
China Yan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	417 E IL Route 173	open
China Yan	Restaurant (service type not stated)		417 E Il Route 173	open
Choppers Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	26375 IL-173	open
Cuda's Restaurant, Bar and Pizza	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	27045 W Grass Lake Rd	open
Culver's Culver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	451 East Route 173	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	966 Main St	open
David's Bistro	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Dessert	883 Main St	open
Dockers North	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		955 IL-59	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	646 Rt. 173	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	475 E Route 173 Wal*Mart	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	442 Orchard St	open
Eiku	Coffee shop	Coffee	913 Main St	open
El Sureño	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	40160 N Bluff Lake Rd	open
Ellie's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	389 Lake St #1403	open
Final Finish Boat Works - Fiberglass Repair, Painting & Detailing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		811 Pickard Ave	open
Forbidden Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	471 Main St	open
Fox's Lounge	Bar		350 IL-173	open
Golden Panda	Restaurant (service type not stated)		422 Lake St	open
Grande Jakes - Antioch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1200 Main St	open
Granny's Lakeside Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	25125 W Grass Lake Rd	open
Grass Lake Landings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	26257 West Heart O'Lakes Blvd	open
Hollywood Roadhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	41480 US-45	open
Honey Bee Lounge	Bar		38796 N Drexel Blvd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	489 IL-173	open
Jimanos Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	417 E Il Route 173	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	478 E IL-173	open
JJ Twig's Pizza & Pub - Antioch	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Steakhouse · American	1500 Main St	open
Katy’s Antioch Bar & Lounge	Bar		420 E Il Rte 173 Ste 110	open
KFC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	325 W Il Route 173	open
Kfc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	325 W Il Route 173	open
Lake Marie Lodge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	25855 W Il Route 173	open
Lake's Pancake House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	25489 IL-173	open
Last Stop Tavern	Bar		311 W Depot St	open
LibertyX Bitcoin ATM	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	283 W Il Rte 173	open
Limerick Lounge	Bar		912 Toft Ave	open
Looney's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		40805 North IL-83	open
Lovin Oven Cakery Lovin Oven Cakery Antioch, Illinois	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	455 Lake St	open
Lucky Bernie's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	420 IL-173	open
Main Freeze	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	902 Main St	open
Markitos tacos & catering authentic Mexican food inc	Food truck	Mexican	912 Toft Ave	open
mauri's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	934 Main St	open
Max & Boyd's Hideout, Inc	Bar · Casual dining		25344 W Richmond Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1150 Main St	open
Mexican Paradise Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	436 Lake St	open
Midwest Screens, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		303 Main St	open
Mr G's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	561 Main St	open
Mulligan Harbor	Bar	American	27843 W Grass Lake Rd	open
Oasis On Bluff Lake	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		25276 W Grass Lake Rd	open
Old Chicago Red Hots	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	573 W IL-173	open
Oliverii North	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	384 Lake St	open
Onyx Night Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		750 W State Route 173	open
Papa's Treat Shoppe	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	927 Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	322 W State Route 173 Lake	open
Pop's Uptown Supper Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	43441 US-45	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	483 IL-173	open
Porch Beers	Bar		42422 N Woodbine Ave	open
Queens Caribbean Kitchen (Jerk Chicken , Jerk Pork)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	900 Main St	open
Rivalry Alehouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		945 Main St	open
Ron and Pat's Pizza Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	40338 Deep Lake Rd	open
Rosati's Pizza of Antioch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	417 Illinois 173	open
Rosatis Antioch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	417 E Il Route 173 Unit 108	open
Rosey's Pub	Bar · Quick service		Forestview Way	open
Ruthie’s Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1619 Main St	open
Sandbar Marina	Bar		40880 N Douglas Ave	open
Sandbar on Lake Marie	Casual dining · Bar	American	40870 N Douglas Ave	open
Snack Shack Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Hot dogs · American	25295 IL-173	open
SomeBar	Bar		38935 N Sheridan Rd	open
Something Sweet	Dessert	Dessert	891 Main St	open
Spring Lake Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	25125 W Grass Lake Rd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	560 E Il Route 173	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1051 Illinois Route 59	open
Station 51 Truck Company Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	883 Main St	open
Steak N' Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1133 Main St	open
Steve's Sports Bar	Bar		26029 IL Route 173	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1120 Main St	open
Sunset Grill Antioch Sunset Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	25276 W Grass Lake Rd	open
Sweet Cravings 2	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Sweet Discoveries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	388 Lake St	open
Szechwan Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1144 Main St	open
Taylor's on Toft	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		921 Toft Ave	open
The Latte Cafe & Bakery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1185 Main St	open
The Latte Cafe at Sequoit Creek Park	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	845 Main St	open
The Lodge of Antioch	Bar · Casual dining	American	899 Main St	open
The Loft Char Bar	Bar		38796 N Drexel Blvd	open
The Open Mic Coffee and Tea House	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	913 Main St	open
The Peanut Butter Pig	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	430 Orchard St	open
The Pizza Joint & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	311 Depot St	open
The Sandbar on Lake Catherine / Channel Lake	Bar		43100 N Andyville Ln	open
The Shed Coffee, Cake & More	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1599 Main St	open
The Vegas Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	914 Main St	open
Time 2 Bite	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	25855 IL-173	open
Toasties Soda Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	320 W IL-173	open
Topper's sports bar	Bar	American	26211 IL-173	open
Twisted Sifter’s Baked Goods	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery		open
Valley Ridge Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	40150 N Illinois 59	open
Viezjollc	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	350 North Ave	open
Vigneto del Bino	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		42150 N Crawford Rd	open
Wings Etc. Wings Etc.	Bar · Casual dining		480 Orchard St	open
Z's Char Dogs	Food truck	Hot dogs · American	24480 W Grass Lake Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	966 IL Route 59	open
Corniciones Pizzeria And Ice Cream Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1200 Main St	closed
Cuhlife Llc Antioch	Restaurant (service type not stated)		420 E Il Route 173	closed
Grannys Diner Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25125 W Grass Lake Rd	closed
Hopper's Garage Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		301 Main St Ste 114	closed
Landon Enterprises Of Illinois, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		451 E State Route 173	closed
Perks Pit Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1185 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	49	39	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1995	50	38	—	—	—	12	SIC1987
1996	52	42	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	56	42	—	—	—	14	SIC1987
1998	49	32	21	7	4	13	NAICS1997
1999	45	30	20	7	3	13	NAICS1997
2000	45	33	20	10	3	11	NAICS1997
2001	43	30	17	8	5	12	NAICS1997
2002	41	28	16	8	4	12	NAICS1997
2003	39	30	17	9	3	8	NAICS2002
2004	41	30	18	8	3	9	NAICS2002
2005	52	41	21	15	4	9	NAICS2002
2006	52	41	22	15	3	8	NAICS2002
2007	55	45	21	20	4	9	NAICS2002
2008	62	49	21	23	5	11	NAICS2007
2009	54	41	18	18	5	11	NAICS2007
2010	54	42	16	20	5	10	NAICS2007
2011	53	42	20	17	4	9	NAICS2007
2012	50	40	19	17	3	7	NAICS2012
2013	51	42	21	18	3	6	NAICS2012
2014	56	48	27	18	3	5	NAICS2012
2015	59	51	29	17	5	6	NAICS2012
2016	53	45	23	17	5	6	NAICS2012
2017	53	45	25	16	4	6	NAICS2017
2018	52	44	22	16	6	6	NAICS2017
2019	56	47	22	21	4	7	NAICS2017
2020	56	48	24	20	4	6	NAICS2017
2021	59	50	27	20	3	7	NAICS2017
2022	65	56	32	21	3	7	NAICS2022
2023	65	55	29	22	4	8	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60002. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
53179	3.7 mi	4	2023
60046	3.8 mi	35	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.