BMIE Market 60042

Lake County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±162 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,547 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,309 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,704 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,852 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$259,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,075 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60042
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+71.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	60 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60042. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.1	73	40%	+29.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.4	74	35%	+26.0
Market Momentum Score	60.3	60	25%	+15.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,347	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	99,917	81	40%	+32.4
Households (ACS)	3,088	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	71.4	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.4	55	25%	+13.8
Population (ACS)	8,347	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	99,917	81	20%	+16.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	71.4	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Annie's Island Lake	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	211 E State Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert	510 Auburn Dr	open
Bella Lukes of Island Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	107 E State Rd	open
Biggby Coffee Biggby Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	311 East State Rd.	open
Buck Wild Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		27509 N Beech St	open
Chi-Town Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Hot dogs · American	541 Auburn Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	203 E. State Rd.	open
El Norteno El Norteño	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	206 E State Rd	open
Happy Zone	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	215 E State Rd	open
Hunan Gourmet \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	529 Auburn Dr	open
Island Lake Cafe	Café · Casual dining	American · Coffee	310 E State Rd	open
Julie's Video Slots	Bar		125 E State Rd	open
La pequeña mariposa	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	525 Auburn Dr	open
Lakes Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		213 E State Rd	open
Mavericks Brew Pub	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		4500 Roberts Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	600 W State Rd	open
Nancy's Pizza Nancy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	527 Auburn Dr	open
Sideouts Sports Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		4018 Roberts Rd	open
Sofia's Place Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	640 E State Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	510 Auburn Dr	open
T-Bar	Bar		4500 Roberts Rd	open
Taco & Burrito Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	215 E State Rd	open
The Fan Club	Bar		213 E State Rd	open
Gregorio's Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	652 E State Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	2	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	6	3	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	9	5	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	7	4	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	9	5	2	2	1	4	NAICS1997
1999	12	9	6	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	4	2	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	9	7	3	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	2	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	10	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	2	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	7	1	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	11	7	2	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	11	7	1	6	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	12	9	2	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	15	10	3	7	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	15	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60042. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60084	3.0 mi	33	2023
60013	4.3 mi	30	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.