BMIE Market 60044

Lake County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,312 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,159 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±300 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,792 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,211 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$134,724 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,286 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$599,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70,133 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60044
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+46.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 24–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60044. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.4	80	40%	+32.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.5	71	35%	+25.0
Market Momentum Score	42.2	42	25%	+10.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,312	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	134,724	94	40%	+37.6
Households (ACS)	4,159	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	57.1	86	35%	+29.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.3	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	10,312	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	134,724	94	20%	+18.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12	17	50%	+8.6
10-year restaurant growth	57.1	86	30%	+25.7
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 10 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Pizza 4 · Burgers 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 15 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Dessert 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
BANGKOK TOKYO Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai · Japanese	227 N Waukegan Rd	open
Bluffington's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	113 E Scranton Ave	open
Bratski's	Bar	American	715 Rockland Rd	open
Cellar 26	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		13860 W Rockland Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	945 Rockland Rd Ste A	open
Dominicks Finer Foods	Bakery	Bakery	201 Waukegan Rd	open
Donati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	205 Waukegan Rd	open
Donelli's Pub & Eatery	Casual dining · Bar	American	515 Rockland Rd	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3092 N Skokie Highway	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	707 Rockland Rd	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	235 Waukegan Rd	open
Forest Greens Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	123 Waukegan Rd Ste 100	open
Full Moon Family Restaurant	Casual dining	American	1300 N Skokie Hwy	open
Graffiti Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	715 Rockland Rd	open
Grille No. 43	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	28800 N Waukegan Rd	open
Gus' Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	28800 N Waukegan Rd	open
Half & Half	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	77 E Scranton Ave	open
Hansa Coffee and Wine Sellers	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	24 E Scranton Ave	open
Hooyahs	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3000 Sheridan Rd	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	701 Rockland Rd	open
Lake Bluff - Drive Thru Potbelly	Quick service	Sandwiches	945 Rockland Road	open
Lake Bluff Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		16 E Scranton Ave	open
Lake House	Bar		525 Rockland Rd	open
Luke's of Lake Bluff	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian	203 N Waukegan Rd	open
Mae's At 20 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 E Scranton Ave	open
Maevery Public House	Bar · Casual dining	American	20 E Scranton Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	30388 N Skokie Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	28929 N Waukegan Rd	open
Meatheads Meatheads	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · American	955 Rockland Rd	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	305 N Waukegan Road	open
Pies By Local Guys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	205 Waukegan Rd	open
Poke Bros Poke Bros. Polaris	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	703 Rockland Rd	open
Popcorn Factory	Dessert · Café	Coffee	30120 N Skokie Hwy	open
Post Time Sports Bar & Grille	Bar · Casual dining	American	13860 Rockland Rd	open
Potbelly Sandwich Shop Potbelly Sandwich Shop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Sandwiches	945 Rockland Road	open
Prairie Espresso + Wine/Beer Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	79 E Scranton Ave	open
Prairie Pub	Bar		79 E Scranton Ave	open
Puck's Pub	Bar		207 N Waukegan Rd	open
Reverie Petit Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	91 E Scranton Ave	open
Rita's	Casual dining · Bar	American	13744 Rockland Rd	open
Scooters	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	12610 W Rockland Rd	open
Silverado Vineyards Silverado Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		900 Armour Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	18 N Waukegan Rd	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3020 N. Skokie Hwy	open
Suzy's Swirl	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	205 N Waukegan Rd	open
Tacos El Norte Lake Bluff	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	303 N Waukegan Rd	open
Tangley Oaks Terlato	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom		900 Armour Dr	open
Terlato Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		900 Armour Dr	open
The Otherdoor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	30 E Center Ave	open
The Silo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	625 Rockland Rd	open
Tracy's Tracy's	Bar		1251 Skokie Hwy Ste D	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	955 Rockland Rd	open
Venetia	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	49 E Scranton Ave	open
Wildflour Bakery & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14 E Scranton Ave	open
Wisma	Café	Coffee	24 E Scranton Ave	open
You're A Cookie!	Bakery	Bakery	910 Sherwood Dr Ste 21	open
Lu Lu's Frozen Delights	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	14 E Scranton Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	20	19	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	19	17	7	8	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	19	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	20	18	9	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	18	8	6	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	25	23	11	9	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	24	20	9	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	24	21	9	7	5	—	NAICS2002
2005	26	22	11	7	4	1	NAICS2002
2006	27	21	10	7	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	15	7	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	17	14	6	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	14	6	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	16	7	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	14	7	5	2	4	NAICS2012
2013	19	14	6	6	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	21	16	8	6	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	25	20	9	8	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	26	21	8	11	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	31	28	8	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	25	8	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	25	8	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	24	8	10	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	23	8	9	6	3	NAICS2017
2022	29	24	8	10	6	3	NAICS2022
2023	28	22	7	9	6	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60044. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60088	1.7 mi	6	2023
60064	2.5 mi	24	2023
60045	3.6 mi	36	2023
60048	4.4 mi	77	2023
60085	4.6 mi	112	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.