BMIE Market 60554

Kane County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,081 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,796 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,371 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$122,734 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,486 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±538 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60554
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+166.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+128.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60554. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.5	80	40%	+32.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.8	71	35%	+24.8
Market Momentum Score	58.6	59	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,081	73	40%	+29.4
Median household income (ACS)	122,734	91	40%	+36.5
Households (ACS)	4,573	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.2	59	25%	+14.8
Population (ACS)	12,081	73	20%	+14.7
Median household income (ACS)	122,734	91	20%	+18.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	30%	+19.7
20-year restaurant growth	166.7	90	20%	+18.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 5 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Brightest Stars Preschool Llc Dba 2nd St Ory Media And Desig	Restaurant (service type not stated)		474 Division Dr Ste H	open
Burnt Barrel Social	Bar	American	799 Heartland Dr	open
Calamity Jane's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	9S593 IL-47	open
Chicago West	Restaurant (service type not stated)		270 Main St	open
Cilantro Taco Grill - Sugar Grove Cilantro Taco Grill Lincoln Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	519 N Sugar Grove Pkwy Ste f	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	519 N Sugar Grove Pkwy Ste E	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	412 N Sugar Grove Pkwy	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	442 IL-47	open
Fireside Grille	Casual dining · Bar	American · Steakhouse	49 Sugar Ln	open
Genoa Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	44 Cross St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11 Waubonsee Dr	open
Hy-tek Manufacturing Co, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1998 Bucktail Ln	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	472 N Sugar Grove Pkwy	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	472 Rte 47	open
King Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	495 N Sugar Grove Pkwy Ste H	open
Kobev International Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43w522 Us Highway 30 Ste A	open
Maris Cantina & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	495 N Sugar Grove Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	523 N State Route 47	open
Open Range Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	1 Golf View Rd	open
Paisano's Pizza & Grill Paisano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	98 S Main St	open
Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	495 N Sugar Grove Pkwy	open
Rt 47 Wings & Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		519 N Sugar Grove Pkwy	open
Sky Haven of Aurora	Bar		43W280 US Highway 30	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	465 N Sugar Grove Pkwy	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	421 N Sugar Grove Pkwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	519 N Sugar Grove Parkway Suite A	open
Sugar Grove Cafe Sugar Grove Vineyards and Gathering Place	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	1942 W US Highway 30	open
Team Advantage Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		43W516 US Highway 30	open
Tuskin Equipment Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		483 N Heartland Dr Ste F	open
Wrigley Fire Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar			open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	12	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	8	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	9	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	15	10	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	16	10	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	8	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	20	18	7	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	19	8	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	19	8	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	18	8	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60554. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
60506	4.6 mi	74	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.