BMIE Market 61802

Champaign County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,293 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,717 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±649 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,052 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,223 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,620 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,033 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±71 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$169,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	82.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 61802
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+43.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+725.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 28–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 61802. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.7	63	40%	+25.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.9	65	35%	+22.7
Market Momentum Score	87.1	87	25%	+21.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,293	82	40%	+32.7
Median household income (ACS)	61,620	33	40%	+13.0
Households (ACS)	9,717	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	57.1	86	35%	+29.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.3	48	25%	+12.1
Population (ACS)	20,293	82	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	61,620	33	20%	+6.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	43.5	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	57.1	86	30%	+25.7
20-year restaurant growth	120	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 7 · Mexican 7 · Pizza 7 · Bakery 6 · Asian 5 · Dessert 5 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Vietnamese 2 · African 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 10 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Other 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Apple Dumpling	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2014 N High Cross Rd	open
Bangkok Thai & PHO911#2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Thai · Asian	1104 N Cunningham Ave	open
Bent Bean	Coffee shop	Coffee	1602 E University Ave	open
Boomerang's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1309 E Washington St	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1708 Philo Rd	open
Casa Del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2870 S Philo Rd	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2100 E University Ave	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	114-M N Vine St	open
China Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1703 Philo Rd	open
Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2101 N Kenyon Rd	open
Cup's Cave	Bar		Eastern Ave	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	1108 N Cunningham Ave	open
Dotty's Ruby's Dotty's Gem's	Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1901 S Philo Rd	open
El Oasis	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	510 N Cunningham Ave	open
El Progreso Tienda y Carniceria	Bakery	Mexican · Bakery	1302 North Cunningham	open
First Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1805 Philo Rd	open
Flex-N-Gate	Bar		601 Guardian Dr	open
Good Judy's Bagels	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2740 Philo Rd Ste D	open
Gt's Surf Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		108 N Smith Rd	open
Hickory River Smokehouse Hickory River Smokehouse Tipp City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1706 N Cunningham Ave	open
Hot Spot	Bar		1809 S Philo Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	2108 E University Ave	open
Keys Hunipot	Dessert		1403 E Washington St	open
La Michoacana Express	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1508 N Cunningham Ave	open
La Mixteca Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	510 N Cunningham Ave #4	open
La Veya Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1805 S Philo Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1901 Philo Rd	open
Los Paisas	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	607 N Cunningham Ave	open
Lucky's Lounge	Bar		2002 N Lincoln Ave	open
Marco's Pizza	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Pizza	1901 Philo Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1705 S Philo Rd	open
Milo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2870 Philo Rd	open
Monical's Pizza Monical's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2720 S Philo Rd	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	114 N Vine St Ste C	open
Pastures and Paws	Café	Coffee · Greek · American	805 Sunny Ln	open
Po Boy's BBQ & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1901 N High Cross Rd	open
Pond Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1303 E Main St	open
Powdered Pixie Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5208 N High Cross Rd	open
Red Bicycle Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2740 Philo Rd	open
Reserve at Buvons	Bar		203 N Vine St	open
Rick's Bakery/Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	2018 Philo Rd	open
Riggs Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1901 S High Cross Rd	open
Sepelas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	510 N Cunningham Ave Ste 8	open
Shots N’ Slots	Bar		3615 N Cunningham Ave	open
Solo Cup Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	1505 E Main St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	102 N Vine St	open
Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2009 N Kenyon Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	100 S High Cross Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2740 Philo Rd Ste A	open
Sugar, Spice & Starlight	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Main St	open
Sunny China Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1703 S Philo Rd	open
Taco Motorizado	Food truck	Mexican	607 N Cunningham Ave	open
Taco Motorizado	Food truck		N Cunningham Ave	open
Tely Organics	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	Philo	open
Toro Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1601 N Cunningham Ave	open
VFW Post 630	Bar		1303 E Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	100 S High Cross Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	505 N Cunningham	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	200 N. Vine Street, Suite 114V	open
Xinh Xinh Cafe	Café	Vietnamese · Coffee · Asian	114 N Vine St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	200 N Vine St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	19	13	6	6	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	21	14	8	5	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	20	12	8	2	2	6	NAICS1997
2001	22	13	8	3	2	7	NAICS1997
2002	19	13	8	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2003	21	15	9	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2004	19	14	7	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2005	18	13	6	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	17	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	20	16	8	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	24	19	10	8	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	28	23	14	8	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	24	19	11	7	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	22	18	10	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	30	24	12	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	26	21	9	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	25	21	11	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	27	23	11	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	28	23	11	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	24	19	10	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	23	11	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	25	11	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	24	11	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	24	12	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	29	16	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	37	33	20	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 61802. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
61801	3.2 mi	57	2023
61820	4.9 mi	162	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.