BMIE Market 62034

Madison County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,870 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±615 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,264 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,819 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,867 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$101,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,106 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$281,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,793 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62034
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+280.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62034. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.8	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.5	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	47.2	47	25%	+11.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,870	77	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	101,260	82	40%	+32.7
Households (ACS)	6,264	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	35%	+17.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.8	61	25%	+15.3
Population (ACS)	14,870	77	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	101,260	82	20%	+16.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	5.6	50	30%	+15.1
20-year restaurant growth	35.7	56	20%	+11.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 9 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 5 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2098 Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4233 S State Route 159	open
54th Street 54th Street Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6660 Edwardsville Crossing Dr	open
Annie's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11 Illini Dr	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3600 S State Route 159	open
Bubbakoo's Burritos Bubbakoo's Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3901 IL-159	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	70 W Main St	open
China Resturant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	310 Junction Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	3905 S State Rte 159	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican	27 Junction Dr	open
Descend	Bar		5 Greenbriar Ln	open
Edley's Bar-B-Que Edley's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2392 S State Rte 157	open
Edley’s BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		S State Route 157, Glen Carbon, IL 62034, United States	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4207 S, Il 159	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	4233 South IL-159	open
Jack in the Box Jack in the Box	Quick service	Burgers · Mexican	31 Junction Dr	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3815 S State Rte 159	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3202 S State Route 159	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3751 Troy Rd	open
Old Towne Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		155 S Main St	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3592 s state route 159	open
Perfect Curl Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3905 S State Route 159	open
Pizza World	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	102 Junction Dr	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	4219 S State Route 159	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	106 Junction Dr	open
The Cabin At Judy Creek	Bar · Casual dining		3730 S State Rte 157	open
The Iceberg Lounge (Venue)	Bar		4208 S State Route 159	open
The Tipsy Turtle Bourbon Bar	Bar		4954 IL, IL-159 Suite A	open
The Wooden Nickel Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		171 S Main St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2813 1/2 Fifth Avenue South	open
Troy & Cottonwood Rd Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4208 S State Rte 159	open
Uncle JJs	Bar		123 Any Street	open
Weeping Willow Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	123 Glen Crossing Rd	open
Wing Snob Wing Snob	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3901 IL-159	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	6	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	17	13	4	6	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	4	7	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	3	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	15	14	4	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	3	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	16	14	2	11	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	2	16	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	22	21	5	15	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	6	11	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	8	8	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	5	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	4	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	4	8	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	18	17	5	10	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	19	5	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	20	18	4	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	5	11	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	20	18	4	11	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	20	18	6	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	21	18	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	19	6	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	19	7	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	18	8	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	17	5	9	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	21	17	4	9	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	4	11	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62034. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62062	2.1 mi	7	2023
62026	2.8 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.