BMIE Market 62205

St. Clair County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,459 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,092 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,276 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±334 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,329 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,301 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$45,672 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,840 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,025 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±212 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$41,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,826 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62205
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-44.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-54.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	33 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	14 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62205. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	42.5	42	40%	+17.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.0	36	35%	+12.6
Market Momentum Score	13.7	14	25%	+3.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,459	64	40%	+25.8
Median household income (ACS)	45,672	10	40%	+4.1
Households (ACS)	2,276	63	20%	+12.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-54.6	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.7	81	25%	+20.4
Population (ACS)	6,459	64	20%	+12.9
Median household income (ACS)	45,672	10	20%	+2.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-44.4	7	50%	+3.3
10-year restaurant growth	-54.6	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 8 · Chicken / wings 6 · Chinese 4 · Seafood 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · BBQ 2 · Mexican 2 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Pizza 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 3 · Café 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
22nd store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2201 State St	open
Arthur's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings · American	2138 St Clair Ave	open
Bounce Back Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4000 State St	open
Bush Coal Ice & Wood Co.	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2107 Missouri Ave	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2601 State St	open
Club Rolex Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	3803 State St	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	140 Racehorse Dr	open
Eastside Chopsuey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3719 State St	open
Eastside Express Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Vegetarian	1950 State St	open
Happy Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2529 State St	open
Jay’s Motor Beast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Mexican	1805 State St	open
JERARIE'S	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		401 N 18th St	open
Joe-Man's Chicken Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	3800 St Clair Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2419 State St.	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2537 State St	open
Louisiana Fish & Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Seafood	2501 Louisiana Blvd	open
Love's Tavern	Bar		1314 St Clair Ave	open
Lum's Chop Suey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3059 State St	open
Maui Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2138 Missouri Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	588 N 24th St	open
Noa Noa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	2701 State St	open
Pop's Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2413 State St	open
Public Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1481 State St	open
Subway	Quick service		2545 State St Ste A	open
Taystee Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	2700 State St	open
The Lush	Casual dining · Bar		3801 State St	open
The Red Door	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	2138 St Clair Ave	open
Wall 2 Wall Night Club	Bar		3801 State St	open
Young's Chop Suey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2221 State St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	8	—	6	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	7	1	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	2	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	1	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	1	1	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	6	4	1	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	4	3	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	4	1	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	3	—	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	8	5	—	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	7	5	—	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	7	5	—	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	8	5	—	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62205. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62207	1.4 mi	1	2016
62204	2.2 mi	3	2021
62203	2.3 mi	3	2023
62201	2.5 mi	7	2023
62206	3.6 mi	15	2023
63102	4.3 mi	30	2023
63101	4.5 mi	40	2023
62059	4.6 mi	1	2012

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.