BMIE Market 62221

St. Clair County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,875 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,507 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,151 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±673 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,858 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,063 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,271 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$217,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,458 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	35.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	37 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62221
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-2.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+5.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+8.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 33–45) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62221. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.4	79	40%	+31.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.2	54	35%	+19.0
Market Momentum Score	20.3	20	25%	+5.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,875	89	40%	+35.5
Median household income (ACS)	82,271	65	40%	+26.0
Households (ACS)	12,151	89	20%	+17.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-2.6	22	35%	+7.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.4	63	25%	+15.7
Population (ACS)	29,875	89	20%	+17.8
Median household income (ACS)	82,271	65	20%	+13.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.3	12	50%	+6.2
10-year restaurant growth	-2.6	22	30%	+6.6
20-year restaurant growth	5.7	37	20%	+7.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (78)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 9 · Asian 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Burgers 5 · Chinese 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 24 · Bar 13 · Dessert 10 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&w Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		648 Carlyle Ave	open
Avenue 7	Dessert		2417 Lebanon Ave	open
Bamboo Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	653 Carlyle Ave	open
Belleville Fish & Chicken	Quick service		3 Wade Square	open
Belleville Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood	3 Wade Sq	open
Best Pizza Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2525 Green Mount Commons Dr #220	open
Bluegrass Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	1819 N Charles St	open
Build 418 Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2532 Green Mount Commons Dr	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2508 Green Mount Commons Dr	open
Camille Coffee LLC	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	Belleville, IL	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Quick service	Seafood · American	649 Carlyle Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2532 Green Mt Commons Dr	open
China Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Chinese · Asian	1636 Lebanon Ave	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	651 Carlyle Ave	open
China Quick	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	940 Carlyle Ave	open
China Town Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	52 Carlyle Plaza Dr	open
Cutter's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		239 Carlyle Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1776 Lebanon Ave 1776 Lebanon Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1900 N. Belt East	open
Easy Buffet and Grill	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		2524 Green Mt Commons Dr	open
El Gordito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2630 Mascoutah Ave	open
El Jacal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1550 IL-15	open
Hanger Hanger Prosthetics in Baton Rouge	Bar	Burgers	2415 Lebanon Ave	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Breakfast · American	2516 Green Mount Commons Dr	open
Harriett's Sweet Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Heroes Lounge 1	Casual dining · Bar		1516 Old IL-158	open
Hi Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1628 Carlyle Ave	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1920 Carlyle Ave	open
Ice Cream Heaven	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	913 Sherman St	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	601 Carlyle Ave	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2524 Green Mt Commons Dr Unit 100 Suite 100	open
Kevlar's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1516 Old State Route 158	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	645 Carlyle Avenue	open
KG's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1516 Old State Rt 158	open
Kl Gong Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		940 Carlyle Ave	open
La Guelaguetza Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Latin American (other) · Dessert	1030 Carlyle Ave	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1652 Carlyle Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1050 Carlyle Ave	open
Los Amigos Mexican Restaurant Belleville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2630 Mascoutah Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1838 Central Plaza Dr	open
Marco’s Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 Lebanon Ave	open
Mary Ice Cream Parlour	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1030 Carlyle Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	906 Carlyle Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1153 N Green Mount Rd	open
Moe's Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Quick service		107 Lincoln PL CT suite 100	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1630 carlyle ave	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	651 Carlyle Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	652 Carlyle Ave Saint Clair	open
Pizza World Pizza World Granite City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	651 Carlyle Ave	open
Polar Paradise Express	Dessert		3529 Harbor Way	open
POPCORN -N- SUCH	Other · Dessert	Dessert	1920 Lebanon Ave	open
Sala Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1229 Lebanon Ave	open
Schatze's	Bar		2301 E Main St	open
Schmittys	Bar		1403 E A St	open
Seoul Mom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	4350 IL-161	open
Shah & Shah Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		651 Carlyle Ave Ste A	open
Shawnee Behavioral Consultation Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2241 Country Rd Ste 6	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Delivery-focused	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	660 Carlyle Ave	open
South Gate Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	4350 IL-161	open
St Teresa Men's Club Fish Fry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · European	1108 Lebanon Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2500 Carlyle Ave	open
Stingers Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Pizza	2331 Old Collinsville Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2601 Green Mt Commons Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	605 Carlyle Ave	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Super Gyros	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	766 Carlyle Ave #5500	open
Swic Dining Services	Café	Coffee	2500 Carlyle Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	760 Carlyle Ave	open
The Grill Master, J Rollins	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	772 Carlyle Ave	open
The Hitching Post	Bar		4350 State Route 161 East	open
The Oaktree Lounge	Bar		3506 Barton Dr	open
The Reserve - Spirits & Gaming: Belleville	Bar		2630 Mascoutah Ave	open
The Weingarten	Bar		1780 IL-15	open
Turkey Hill	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2608 Green Mount Commons Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2600 Green Mount Commons Dr.	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	1141 N Green Mount Rd	open
White Cottage	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	17 Hollyhock Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	34	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	36	31	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	37	31	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	38	32	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	41	31	7	20	4	7	NAICS1997
1999	42	31	7	20	4	8	NAICS1997
2000	40	30	6	20	4	7	NAICS1997
2001	38	28	7	18	3	7	NAICS1997
2002	39	31	11	17	2	6	NAICS1997
2003	43	35	15	18	1	6	NAICS2002
2004	41	34	15	18	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	44	38	20	17	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	40	34	15	18	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	41	36	13	20	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	41	35	13	19	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	39	34	14	19	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	38	32	13	18	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	42	35	12	22	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	48	42	14	28	—	5	NAICS2012
2013	45	38	13	25	—	5	NAICS2012
2014	48	42	14	28	—	5	NAICS2012
2015	51	45	14	31	—	5	NAICS2012
2016	49	43	14	29	—	5	NAICS2012
2017	46	41	13	27	—	4	NAICS2017
2018	54	47	14	31	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	48	42	11	31	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	47	42	12	29	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	44	40	10	29	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	42	38	9	28	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	41	37	8	28	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62221. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62225	3.5 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.