BMIE Market 62223

St. Clair County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±953 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,096 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±504 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,560 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,075 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,922 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,054 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$159,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62223
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-23.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-56.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62223. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.3	68	40%	+27.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.7	57	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	24.0	24	25%	+6.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,269	78	40%	+31.2
Median household income (ACS)	73,700	53	40%	+21.2
Households (ACS)	7,096	80	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.8	73	25%	+18.2
Population (ACS)	16,269	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	73,700	53	20%	+10.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.9	22	50%	+11.0
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-23.8	12	20%	+2.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 9 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 17 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 12 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4204 Main Street Brewing Co. Tap Room, Banquet Center, Brewery	Bar		6435 W. Main Street	open
AJ's Smashed and Smoked	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American · Hot dogs	6980 W Main St	open
AJ’s Bar	Bar · Casual dining		6980 W Main St	open
Banana Leaf Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3030 Frank Scott Pkwy W	open
Best Boba Family	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	3030 Frank Scott Pkwy W Ste 3	open
Cat & Fiddle Tavern Cat and Fiddle Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	8301 Old St Louis Rd	open
Champs Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8193 W Main St	open
Cured And Cultured	Casual dining · Bar	American	6401 W Main St	open
Cured And Cultured	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6401 W Main St	open
Dutch Hollow Barn	Casual dining · Bar		533 Dutch Hollow Rd	open
Erin's Creations	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	9500 W Main St	open
Fanatics Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		9735 W Main St	open
Fletcher's Kitchen and Tap	Casual dining · Bar	American	6101 W Main St	open
Foley's Tavern	Bar		7714 W Main St	open
Frankie & Johnny's	Bar		7307 Old St Louis Rd	open
H's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		1310 Dutch Hollow Rd	open
Hangover Social Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Caribbean	8201 W Main St	open
Hofbräuhaus St. Louis - Belleville	Brewery / taproom		123 Saint Eugene Dr	open
Landshire Sandwiches	Bakery	Bakery	9200 W Main St	open
Lou Lou's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	7309 Old St Louis Rd	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4422 W Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7301 Westfield Plaza Dr	open
Pie Hard Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8201 W Main St	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5601 Belleville Crossing St.	open
Rachel's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3917 Frank Scott Pkwy W	open
Rockin Robyn’s Diner	Casual dining · Bar	American	7309 Old St Louis Rd	open
Royel On The Fly Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8000 Concordia Rd	open
Ruby's	Bar		3030 Frank Scott Pkwy W	open
Saint Lorenzo Hospitality, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		442 S Demazenod Dr	open
Seafood by Crushed Velvet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	8201 W Main St	open
Shrine Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	442 S Demazenod Dr	open
Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	3030 Frank Scott Pkwy W Ste 11	open
Snowie Sweet Treat	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8205 W Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6208 W Main Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6407 W Main St Ste E Belleville Market Plaza	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	6407 W Main St Ste E	open
Sweet Nettie B's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8205 W Main St	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	15 S 59th St	open
Tavern On Main	Bar · Casual dining		6980 W Main St	open
The Round Table Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	11 N 64th St	open
Tim & Joe's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		6500 W Main St	open
Uncle Nick's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3030 Frank Scott Pkwy W	open
Rt 13 Diner	Casual dining	American	7309 Old St Louis Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	47	37	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1995	44	36	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1996	39	29	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1997	42	31	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	41	32	10	19	3	8	NAICS1997
1999	36	25	9	13	3	10	NAICS1997
2000	35	24	6	15	3	10	NAICS1997
2001	33	23	5	15	3	9	NAICS1997
2002	35	20	5	13	2	12	NAICS1997
2003	31	21	10	10	1	6	NAICS2002
2004	33	22	11	10	1	8	NAICS2002
2005	35	22	10	10	2	9	NAICS2002
2006	37	25	13	10	2	8	NAICS2002
2007	28	20	8	10	2	6	NAICS2002
2008	29	19	8	9	2	7	NAICS2007
2009	30	20	8	10	2	7	NAICS2007
2010	31	21	9	10	2	7	NAICS2007
2011	28	18	8	10	—	7	NAICS2007
2012	27	19	11	7	1	5	NAICS2012
2013	23	16	10	5	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	23	16	10	5	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	21	15	9	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	23	16	9	6	1	5	NAICS2012
2017	26	17	9	8	—	7	NAICS2017
2018	23	17	8	9	—	5	NAICS2017
2019	21	15	8	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2020	24	17	10	7	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	25	18	10	8	—	5	NAICS2017
2022	26	19	10	8	—	5	NAICS2022
2023	23	16	8	7	—	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62223. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62226	3.2 mi	41	2023
62203	4.6 mi	3	2023
62207	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.