BMIE Market 62232

St. Clair County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±704 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,717 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,260 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,025 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,269 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,019 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$125,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,273 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62232
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+57.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	61 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62232. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.4	54	40%	+21.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.1	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	61.3	61	25%	+15.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,063	66	40%	+26.3
Median household income (ACS)	64,269	38	40%	+15.0
Households (ACS)	2,717	66	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	51	25%	+12.7
Population (ACS)	7,063	66	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	64,269	38	20%	+7.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

American 6 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Mexican 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 9 · Quick service 9 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Caddyshack Saloon	Bar		2865 N 89th St	open
Caseyville Bridge Inn	Bar		519 N Main St	open
Caseyville Inn	Bar		4038 N 89th St	open
Caseyville, IL (Inside Huck's) Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8795 Sasak Place	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2421 Old Country Inn Dr	open
Dairy Haven	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	112 N Main St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2411 Old Country Inn Dr	open
Dam Bar	Bar · Casual dining		605 N Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2190 Patricia Ct.	open
East Town Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1101 Caseyville Rd	open
Franklin Mclean	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 N Main St	open
Full Moon Saloon	Bar		1050 S Main St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8850 Petroff Dr	open
Huddle Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1101 Caseyville Rd	open
Jack's Place Jack's Place	Bar		16 W Reynolds St	open
Jimmy's Wishing Wells	Quick service		501 N Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2736 Progress Ave	open
L.C.'s Pub	Bar · Casual dining		605 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1 Rauckman Dr	open
Mudbug's Bar & Grill Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		605 N Main St	open
South Main Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	421 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8805 Maple Ave	open
Sweets Cafe' By Alesia	Bakery	Bakery	1101 Caseyville Rd Ste E	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Mexican	2413 N 89th St	open
The Bar	Bar · Casual dining		Park Dr	open
Tony's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1101 Caseyville Rd	open
Tres Caminos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	601 N Main St	open
Tropical Sno Shaved Ice/ Rolling Roast Cold Brew Coffee	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2134 S Morrison Ave	open
Vel's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mediterranean	415 N Long St	open
Woody'z Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	100 S Long St	open
Killion's Irish Inn Inc	Bar		605 N Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	7	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	12	7	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	13	8	3	5	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	14	7	3	4	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	14	8	3	5	—	6	NAICS1997
2001	12	7	3	4	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	3	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	17	10	3	5	2	7	NAICS2002
2004	14	9	3	5	1	5	NAICS2002
2005	13	9	3	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	12	8	2	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	10	7	2	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	11	8	2	4	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	3	4	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	13	9	3	4	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	13	8	2	4	2	5	NAICS2007
2012	15	11	4	5	2	4	NAICS2012
2013	12	9	2	4	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	4	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	14	12	5	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	12	9	2	5	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	12	9	3	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	3	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	13	10	3	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	3	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	17	13	3	9	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	—	7	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	—	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62232. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62208	2.6 mi	63	2023
62234	3.7 mi	59	2023
62203	4.4 mi	3	2023
62204	4.9 mi	3	2021

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.