BMIE Market 62254

St. Clair County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,710 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±209 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,089 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,527 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,492 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,354 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$218,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	40.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62254
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-41.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	9 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62254. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.2	70	40%	+28.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.0	49	35%	+17.2
Market Momentum Score	8.8	9	25%	+2.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,710	65	40%	+26.0
Median household income (ACS)	96,492	79	40%	+31.4
Households (ACS)	2,378	64	20%	+12.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-41.7	8	35%	+2.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.4	71	25%	+17.7
Population (ACS)	6,710	65	20%	+13.0
Median household income (ACS)	96,492	79	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 9 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-30	9	50%	+4.5
10-year restaurant growth	-41.7	8	30%	+2.3
20-year restaurant growth	-30	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 4 · Burgers 3 · Pizza 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1814 Eatery & Drinkery	Bar		115 W Saint Louis St	open
1828 Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	701 College Rd	open
Brewers Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	227 W St Louis St	open
Brick Street Parlor	Bar · Casual dining		120 W St Louis St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	908 S Madison St	open
Creekside Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	800 W Mc Allister St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	412 S Madison St	open
Dr Jazz Soda Fountain & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	230 W St Louis St	open
Duke's Pub	Bar		115 W Saint Louis St	open
Glm Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 W Saint Louis St	open
Grit And Tonic	Bar		120 W Saint Louis St	open
Hardee's	Quick service		501 S Madison St	open
Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	321 S Madison St	open
Lebanon Fish Chicken &Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Chicken / wings	321 S Madison St	open
Maid-Rite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers		open
Mangiamo Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	125 W St Louis St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	713 S Madison St	open
Mcdonald's Playland	Quick service		113-161 Federal Aid Secondar	open
Mexico Tipico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	501 S Madison St	open
Refuge At The Hills	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1015 Belleville St	open
Ron's Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		228 W Saint Louis St	open
Schiappa's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	402 S Madison St	open
Smitty’s Pizzeria	Bakery	Pizza · Italian · Bakery	122 Federal Aid Secondary 1780	open
St. Louis Coffee World	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	125 W St Louis St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	8401 US Highway 50	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	224 S Madison St	open
Tailwinds Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10901 Midgley Neiss Rd	open
The Gasthaus	Casual dining · Bar	American	115 W St Louis St	open
The Lantern BLE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	222 W St Louis St	open
The Mine Shack-Lebanon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	632 S Madison St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	8	3	4	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	12	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2000	12	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	12	7	2	4	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	12	8	2	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	14	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	11	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	13	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	13	7	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	14	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	15	12	6	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	14	10	6	3	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62254. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62289	4.0 mi	1	2016
62225	4.9 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.