BMIE Market 62629

Sangamon County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,413 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±507 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,949 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,062 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$107,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,275 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$243,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,042 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62629
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-17.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62629. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.3	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.6	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	40.1	40	25%	+10.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,413	77	40%	+30.8
Median household income (ACS)	107,250	85	40%	+34.1
Households (ACS)	5,945	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.1	76	25%	+19.0
Population (ACS)	15,413	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	107,250	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-17.7	14	50%	+7.1
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	133.3	88	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 11 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3Sixteen Wine Bar	Bar		316 N Main Plz	open
AJ's Corner	Bar · Casual dining		101 E Mulberry St	open
Antonio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1001 Jason Pl	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	105 Independence Blvd	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	801 E Walnut St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1204 N Main St	open
Chalamo	Bar		310 N Main Plz	open
Chatham Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	414 N Main Plz	open
Chatham Pub Partners Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1081 Jason Pl	open
China River Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	426 N Main Plz	open
Cornett Sno Shack	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1030 Jason Place	open
Fat Willy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	109 E Mulberry St	open
Fulgenzi's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	214 W Chestnut St	open
Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21 Cottonwood Dr	open
Great Wall \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1045 Jason Pl	open
Hardee’s	Quick service		331 N Main St	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	208 N Main St	open
Little Italy's Pizza Little Italy's Pizza Staunton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	205 N Main St	open
Mack Dawg's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		32 Chukar Dr	open
Màs Sabores	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	321 N Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	490 N Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1025 Jason Pl	open
Sabores	Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	460 N Main st plaza	open
Sangamo Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		109 E Mulberry St	open
Saucehouse Wings & Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	321 N Main	open
Scoop Du Jour Scoop Du Jour	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	95 Plummer Blvd	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1214 N Main	open
Secret Recipes Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		319 N Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	317 North Main St	open
Sun Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	321 N Main St	open
Sweet Cake Creations	Bakery	Bakery	602 E Walnut St	open
Taco Casa	Quick service		115 S Main St	open
The Creek Pub & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1081 Jason Pl	open
The Tap Room	Bar		104 E Mulberry St	open
Tipsy Söl Mobile Bar	Bar		7 Kemp Dr	open
Tokyo Hibachi & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	404 E Walnut St	open
Weber's Ice Deli	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Dessert · Sandwiches	309 E Walnut St	open
Wild Wellness	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	602 E Walnut St C	open
Wildflower Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	101 W Locust St	open
Wing Madness	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1008 Jason Pl	open
Wuakamoles Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	300 N Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	1	4	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	8	1	5	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	12	10	4	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	3	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	20	16	5	8	2	3	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	4	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	15	13	4	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	6	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	15	7	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	15	13	5	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	5	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	6	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	18	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	16	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	6	10	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	18	14	4	9	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62629. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62536	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.