BMIE Market 62707

Sangamon County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,472 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±804 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,195 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±310 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,648 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,261 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$89,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$174,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,448 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	41.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62707
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-63.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-46.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.89) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	9 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62707. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.89, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.4	69	40%	+27.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.9	48	35%	+16.8
Market Momentum Score	9.1	9	25%	+2.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,472	66	40%	+26.6
Median household income (ACS)	89,926	73	40%	+29.2
Households (ACS)	3,195	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	35%	+2.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.7	70	25%	+17.4
Population (ACS)	7,472	66	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	89,926	73	20%	+14.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 9 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	-42.9	7	30%	+2.2
20-year restaurant growth	-63.6	2	20%	+0.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (7)

By cuisine

Coffee 2 · American 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Air Jiffy Lounge	Casual dining · Bar		3300 J David Jones Pkwy B	open
Cafe Coco	Café	Coffee	3705 N Dirksen Pkwy	open
Our Lady Of Angels Friary	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4849 Laverna Rd	open
Pam's Jailhouse	Bar		125 Mayden	open
Star 66 Inc	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	3752 Camp Butler Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3752 Camp Butler Rd	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2440 Colt Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	21	15	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	20	16	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	21	14	5	9	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	17	12	4	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	22	15	5	10	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	33	22	9	13	—	7	NAICS1997
2002	35	24	12	11	—	6	NAICS1997
2003	32	22	12	10	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	27	20	12	7	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	32	26	15	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	28	22	13	8	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	23	17	10	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	19	14	7	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	13	8	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	19	14	8	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	17	13	7	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	17	13	6	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	18	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	6	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	17	12	5	5	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	10	4	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	15	10	4	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	15	10	4	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	14	9	3	5	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	14	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62707. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62702	2.2 mi	74	2023
62701	3.8 mi	19	2023
62706	4.0 mi	2	1997
62625	4.2 mi	1	2008
62684	5.0 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.