BMIE Market 62930

Saline County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,761 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±223 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±168 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,263 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,031 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,931 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$666 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$93,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,017 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	70.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62930
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 7–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62930. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.7	46	40%	+18.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.2	41	35%	+14.4
Market Momentum Score	54.0	54	25%	+13.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,761	63	40%	+25.1
Median household income (ACS)	52,931	19	40%	+7.5
Households (ACS)	2,740	66	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.6	51	25%	+12.6
Population (ACS)	5,761	63	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	52,931	19	20%	+3.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	12.5	41	20%	+8.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

American 5 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Quick service 6 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 S Dairy Barn	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	819 State St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1005 US Hwy 45 N	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1216 US-45	open
Dad's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1238 US-45	open
Godfather's Pizza Express Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	142 US-45	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1205 Us Highway 45 N	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1015 US Highway 45 N	open
Liz's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1218 US-45 N	open
Los Reyes Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1017 US Highway 45 N	open
McDonald's	Quick service		142 Ande Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	Il Rt 142 & Ushy 45	open
Mimmo's Pizza \| Eldorado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	607 4th St	open
Rockin Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)		811 Boyd St	open
Smiley's Place	Bar · Casual dining		690 US-45	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1008 US-45	open
The Depot Coffee and Donuts	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1205 S Railroad St	open
VFW Post 3479	Bar · Quick service	American	1201 Veterans Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	4	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	9	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62930. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.