BMIE Market 62946

Saline County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,806 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,930 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,880 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,566 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,080 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$777 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$97,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,937 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	145.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62946
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-3.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62946. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.5	51	40%	+20.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.7	38	35%	+13.2
Market Momentum Score	28.7	29	25%	+7.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,256	73	40%	+29.0
Median household income (ACS)	51,566	17	40%	+6.8
Households (ACS)	4,806	74	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.1	30	25%	+7.5
Population (ACS)	11,256	73	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	51,566	17	20%	+3.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	8.3	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (56)

By cuisine

American 12 · Burgers 7 · Pizza 5 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Quick service 15 · Bar 10 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 3 · Bakery 2 · Catering 2 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5-O-Deuce Motorpool	Bar	American · Burgers	502 N Jackson St	open
Angi's Eats and Sweets	Food truck · Dessert · Catering	Dessert	327 E Raymond St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5 Small St	open
Bar-B-Q Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	632 N Main St	open
Barts Bourbon and Smoke Lounge	Bar		308 N Vine St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	512 S Commercial St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	631 N Main St	open
China Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	601 N Commercial St	open
Commerical St. & Chruch St. Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	84 S Commercial St.	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	605 S Commercial St 605 S Commercial St	open
Deer Shed Tap Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		35 S Vine St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	820 E Poplar St	open
Don Luna \| Mexican Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	612 W Poplar St	open
El Ranchito \| Mexican Restaurant El Ranchito Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	303 S Commercial St #3	open
Elk's Lodge Post 10 Harrisburg	Bar		202 N Vine St	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	700 E Poplar	open
Harrisburg Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	601 N Commercial St	open
Harrisburg Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	100 S Commercial St Ste D	open
Harrisburg Tropical Sno	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	303 S Commercial St	open
Heaven’s Kitchen - Harrisburg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21 W Locust St	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1600 Highway 145 South	open
Ilex Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		327 E Raymond St	open
Johnson Southern Style Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	700 E Walnut St	open
JoJos Bar	Bar		210-298 E Sloan St	open
Keith's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	601 N Commercial St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	514 South Commercial	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	303 S Commercial St	open
Little Taste of Sicily	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	9 E Poplar St	open
Long John Silver's Long John Silver's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	601 S Commercial St	open
Lowlife's Lounge	Bar		9 W Church St	open
Lucy's Place, Harrisburg	Café		701 N Commercial St	open
Mackie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	502 E Poplar St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	617 S Commercial St	open
Morello's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	217 E Poplar St	open
Ponderosa Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	507 N Commercial St	open
Riley mize	Restaurant (service type not stated)		440 Mitchellsville Rd	open
Rj Jones, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		632 N Main St	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	84 S Commercial St	open
Sisco's sports bar	Bar		1411 N Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	610 South Commercial	open
Spinz City	Bar		1 S Main St	open
steam café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	10 S Cherry St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	12 S Commercial St	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	710 S Commercial St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	712 S. Commercial St.	open
Tequilas Mexican Restaurant Tequilas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	507 N Commercial St	open
The Hills Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	218 E Poplar St	open
The Tom Mahal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	317 E Walnut St	open
The Top Shelf Cigar Lounge	Bar			open
The Wing Wagon	Food truck · Catering	Chicken / wings	3380 IL-34	open
Three Little Pigs Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501A S Commercial St	open
Towne Square Pub	Bar		23 E Poplar St	open
Walmart Deli	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	710 S Commercial St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	511 S Commercial St	open
Wok n Roll \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	803 S Commercial St	open
Poor Boys Lounge Inc	Bar		300 E Raymond St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	33	27	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	30	27	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	32	27	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	33	30	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	34	30	14	15	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	32	28	14	13	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	33	27	15	12	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	32	26	13	13	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	28	21	10	11	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	28	24	7	17	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	30	25	8	17	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	29	24	7	17	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	30	26	8	18	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	28	26	9	17	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	29	26	12	14	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	31	28	11	17	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	30	26	11	15	—	4	NAICS2007
2011	27	23	11	12	—	4	NAICS2007
2012	31	28	12	15	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	28	26	11	14	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	26	25	11	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	28	25	10	14	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	29	26	9	16	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	32	29	14	14	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	31	28	12	16	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	30	28	11	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	25	10	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	27	10	16	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	26	24	8	14	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	26	7	18	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 62946. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
62965	4.6 mi	1	1999

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.