BMIE Market 63049

Jefferson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,006 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,896 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,429 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,333 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±94 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$224,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,628 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 63049
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+21.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+43.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+228.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 63049. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.1	77	40%	+30.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.4	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	52.2	52	25%	+13.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,592	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	92,333	75	40%	+30.2
Households (ACS)	6,458	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	21.1	64	35%	+22.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.9	57	25%	+14.3
Population (ACS)	16,592	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	92,333	75	20%	+15.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	21.1	64	30%	+19.3
20-year restaurant growth	43.8	60	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

American 10 · Pizza 6 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Quick service 9 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
8 Ball Pool Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4545 Gravois Village Ctr	open
Applebee's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21 Dillon Plaza Dr	open
Bundy's Restaurants Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1630 Gravois Rd	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1009 Crossroads Pl	open
Crave Cave Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	4564 N Square Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	Gravois Dillon Plaza Gravois Dillon Plaza	open
Dave's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2823 High Ridge Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2711 High Ridge Blvd	open
Dynasty Buffet Sushi & Hibachi	Buffet	Japanese · Sushi	21 Dillon Plaza Dr	open
Fu Yu Chinese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4521 Gravois Vlg Ctr	open
Grand Slam Sports Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3021A High Ridge Blvd	open
Hideout Sports Bar	Bar	American · BBQ	3367 High Ridge Blvd	open
High Ridge Family Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4527 Gravois Village Ctr	open
Holland's Cafe and BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4527 Gravois Village Ctr	open
Hot Spot	Bar		2911 High Ridge Blvd	open
Imo's Pizza Imo's Fans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1870 Little Brennan Rd	open
Iron Barley's High Hog Ridge Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3367 High Ridge Blvd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Burgers	5300 Caroline Dr	open
Jilly's Cafe & Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1630 Gravois Rd	open
Jilly's Too Cafe	Café	Coffee · American	5680 MO-PP	open
Kdoggs Mulletts	Bar		3300 High Ridge Blvd	open
La Casona Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5660 Highway PP	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2701 Ridge Point Drive	open
North Jefferson Eagles	Bar		2911 High Ridge Blvd	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	Dillon Plaza Dr #5	open
Pasta House Co Pasta House Festus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Noodles / ramen / pho	4517 Gravois Vlg Ctr	open
Peggs Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American · Italian	1001 Crossroads Pl	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1013 Crossroads Pl	open
Pupillo's Wicked Chicken Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3021 High Ridge Blvd	open
S&J Snoball Shop S&J Snoball Custard Shop Inc	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3035 High Ridge Blvd	open
Saucy's Pizzeria - High Ridge Saucy's Pizzeria - Hillsboro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1630 Gravois Rd	open
Schmolls 8 Ball	Casual dining · Bar		4545 Gravois Village Ctr	open
SnJ Snowball Shop	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
St. Louis Pizza & Wings St. Louis Pizza & Wings Affton	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	4519 Gravois Vlg Ctr	open
Stl Ez Eats	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5501 Donna Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5313 Caroline Drive	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2699 Ridge Point Drive	open
Tailgate Treats STL	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	6104 Antire Rd	open
Toasted Coffee House	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3015 High Ridge Blvd	open
Treaux's Cajun Bbq - Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4564 N Square Dr	open
Twin Pikes Roastery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2528 Gravois Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2700 Ridge Point Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2709 Ridge Point Dr	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	310 Emerson Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	13	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	5	9	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	4	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	15	14	3	11	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	17	15	4	11	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	16	5	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	20	17	7	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	21	19	8	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	22	20	8	11	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	6	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	17	16	6	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	7	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	13	6	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	17	15	7	8	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	17	16	7	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	8	11	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	7	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	19	6	13	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	7	15	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	25	24	9	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	23	9	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	26	24	10	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	25	9	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	24	9	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	23	10	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	23	10	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 63049. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
63026	4.1 mi	64	2023
63025	4.8 mi	30	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.