BMIE Market 63367

St. Charles County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,725 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±993 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,125 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,433 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,958 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$137,648 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,081 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,634 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$409,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,422 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	49 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 63367
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+48.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+88.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+390.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,125.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	53 (range 46–59) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.9 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 63367. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.8	91	40%	+36.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.9	80	35%	+28.0
Market Momentum Score	90.8	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,725	89	40%	+35.5
Median household income (ACS)	137,648	94	40%	+37.8
Households (ACS)	11,125	88	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	88.5	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.5	48	25%	+11.9
Population (ACS)	29,725	89	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	137,648	94	20%	+18.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	48.5	89	50%	+44.4
10-year restaurant growth	88.5	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	390	98	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (72)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 7 · Mexican 7 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Burgers 6 · Dessert 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 19 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 8 · Café 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
7 Brew Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	8310 Old Hwy N	open
Andy's Frozen Custard Andy's Frozen Custard	Dessert · Quick service	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	6400 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	909 Robert Raymond Dr	open
Asabi Bistro Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1325 Lake St Louis Blvd	open
Bake.leaf	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	16105 Cuivre Dr	open
BC's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	11 Meadow Cir Dr #400	open
Birdies and Barrels Golf Lounge	Bar		6285 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Burnt Barrel Meadery & Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		730 Lakeside Plaza	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	8280 Old Highway N	open
Chumley's Smoke House & Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · BBQ	1 Full Belly Ln	open
Clementine's Naughty & Nice Creamery Clementine's Naughty & Nice Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	20 Meadows Circle Dr	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	6281 Ronald Reagan Drive	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6281 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Cugino's Lake St. Louis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10 Meadow Cir Dr	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1300 Lake St Louis Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	157 Pond Fort Trail	open
Donatelli's Wine Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	8621 State Rte N	open
El Guero Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1411 Lake Saint Louis Blvd # 1413	open
El Maguey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1413 Lake St Louis Blvd	open
El Maguey Mexican Restaurant El Maguey Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6125 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
First Watch First Watch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	1035 Southern Ridge Lane	open
For the Love of Cake STL	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	743 Autumnwood Forest Dr	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1021 Southern Ridge Lane	open
Fuego Tex Mex Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	21 Meadow Cir Dr #326	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	501 Civic Center Dr	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	131 Civic Center Dr	open
Green China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1317 Lake St Louis Blvd 1322 # 1322	open
Grillo's Chop & Barrel	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	6289 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10 Centre On The Lake	open
Heroes Pub & Grill	Bar		760 Lakeside Plz	open
Hygge	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	21 Meadow Cir Dr	open
Imo's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Jack In The Box Jack in the Box	Quick service	Burgers · Mexican	459 Hawk Ridge Trail Dr	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1039 Southern Ridge Ln	open
Jim & Deb's Lakeside Pub	Bar		10600 Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	6299 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Joey B’s Lake St. Louis	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian	6247 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
La Hacienda Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6125 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
LillysSnowConesAndMore	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8621 Highway N	open
Lsl Hospitality Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 Meadows Circle Dr Ste 326	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	1820 Lk St Louis Blvd	open
Mattingly's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar		6245 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Max & Erma's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10 Meadows Circle Dr Ste 116	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	885 Robert Raymond Dr	open
Nice Racks Billiards Club at Unterreiner Point Basement Bar	Bar		9 Harbor Point Ct	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	6200 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	861 Robert Raymond Drive	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6317 ronald reagan dr	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6289 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	6424 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8649 Highway N St. Charles	open
PJ's Coffee - Lake St. Louis, MO PJ's Coffee of Hammond	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	6480 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Popeye's Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6475 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Prados Modern Mexican Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	21 Meadow Cir Dr #326	open
Shiv Parvati Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1321 Lake Saint Louis Blvd	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	105 Pond Fort Trail	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	6325 Ronald Reagan Drive	open
Southern Grace Coffee LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	20 Meadow Cir Dr	open
Spiced Hen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	111 Pond Fort Trl	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	6319 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Steak 'n Shake Steak 'n Shake	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	835 Robert Raymond Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1321 Lake Saint Louis Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6249 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Sushi Sen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	161 Civic Center Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	901 Robert Raymond Dr.	open
The DAM BAR at Windjammer Point	Bar		69599 Windjammer Pt	open
The Post Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		6472 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Village Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	6127 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	6100 Ronald Reagan Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	905 Robert Raymond Dr	open
Westbound Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	760 Lakeside Plaza	open
Williams Chill and Grill	Casual dining · Quick service · Bar		308 Spring Day Ct	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	10	7	1	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	13	10	3	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	9	3	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	8	2	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	19	15	4	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	24	21	7	13	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	28	25	8	15	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	26	23	10	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	25	22	10	11	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	26	23	10	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	28	25	14	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	29	26	12	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	30	27	11	13	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	31	28	11	14	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	32	29	12	16	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	33	31	12	15	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	33	15	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	36	33	12	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	36	32	11	18	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	40	35	11	19	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	47	42	12	24	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	53	49	15	24	10	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 63367. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
63385	3.7 mi	83	2023
63368	3.9 mi	64	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.