BMIE Market 63383

Warren County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,927 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±865 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±407 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,770 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,547 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,282 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,108 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,073 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$243,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	160.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 63383
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+52.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 29–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 63383. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.3	69	40%	+27.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.2	61	35%	+21.4
Market Momentum Score	42.5	42	25%	+10.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,927	79	40%	+31.4
Median household income (ACS)	75,282	56	40%	+22.2
Households (ACS)	6,512	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.9
Population (ACS)	16,927	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	75,282	56	20%	+11.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.7	24	50%	+11.9
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	44.4	61	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (49)

By cuisine

American 15 · Pizza 9 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Coffee 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 13 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Coffee shop 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Angela's Farm	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		212 Eden Trl	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	507 Warren City Center	open
BEACHEAD Grill & Pub	Bar		28855 Legion Trl	open
Bobby G's Subs & More	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1000 Warrenton Shoppes	open
Breezy's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	1000 Warrenton Outlet Ctr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1002 State Hwy 47	open
Casa Tequila Cantina & Grill Casa Tequila Cantina & Grill Winghaven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	429 E Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	601 State Hwy 47, Warrenton, MO 63383, USA	open
Champs Chicken Champs Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	1035 Armory Rd	open
China House Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	1018 State Hwy 47	open
Cusumano's Pizza & Food Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	115 Booneslick Rd Ste D	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	911 N Service Rd E	open
Deerfield's On Main	Bar		227 E Booneslick Rd	open
Denny's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	429 E Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		#1 Campbranch Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1331 N E Service Rd	open
Dunkin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24004 W Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
El Jimador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	512 Warren County Ctr	open
El Maguey Warrenton, Mo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	512 Warren County Ctr	open
Grafeedy Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	24000 W Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
Holly's Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	132 Kuhl Ave	open
Hunan Style Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	916 Steinhagen Rd	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	710 State Highway 47	open
Hwy 47 Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	703 Warrior Ave	open
Hwy N 47 & 1st St Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	718 N Hwy 47	open
IMO's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	289 W Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		605 N Service Rd	open
Kasabi Hibachi, Sushi and Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	518 Warren County Ctr	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1007 N State Highway 47	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	518 B Warren County Center	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1003 N Hwy 47	open
MK Ranch Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1000 Warrenton Shoppes	open
Olivers Restaurant And Catering Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		289 W Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	717 State Hwy 47	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	902 Old Steinhagen Rd	open
Rails Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		24152 Kelling Ln	open
Rori Enterprises	Restaurant (service type not stated)		113 E Booneslick Rd	open
Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	718 N Highway 47	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	718 State Hwy 47	open
Social House 227	Bar		227 E Main St	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1004 North Hwy 47	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	705 N State Hwy 47	open
The Corner Pub	Bar · Casual dining		101 Booneslick Rd	open
The Hide Out	Casual dining · Bar	American	405 W Veterans Memorial Pkwy	open
Two Dudes BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	612 State Hwy 47	open
Udderly Moolicious	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1000 Warrenton Shoppes	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1012 NORTH HWY 47	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1012 N State Highway 47	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	902 Highway 47 North	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	18	17	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	21	20	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	21	18	7	10	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	19	16	7	8	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	22	19	7	10	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	22	19	7	10	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	19	17	8	9	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	19	18	8	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	7	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	19	7	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	33	29	14	13	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	30	27	14	13	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	26	23	14	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	22	20	13	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	20	13	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	29	27	16	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	26	24	11	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	24	22	10	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	25	23	9	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	22	9	12	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	26	23	11	12	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	28	26	11	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	27	11	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	29	26	11	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	31	27	9	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	28	10	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	27	11	15	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	26	11	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 63383. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
63380	3.9 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.