BMIE Market 64029
Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,350 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,927 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±539 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,574 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,276 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $91,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,045 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,395 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±75 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $309,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 31.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64029 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +200.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +87.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +400.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +650.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 14 (range 9–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 96 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64029. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 79.4 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84.2 | 84 | 35% | +29.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 95.9 | 96 | 25% | +24.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,961 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,704 | 75 | 40% | +29.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,927 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 87.5 | 90 | 35% | +31.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.8 | 85 | 25% | +21.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,961 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,704 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 96 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 200 | 99 | 50% | +49.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 87.5 | 90 | 30% | +26.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 400 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (44)
By cuisine
Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 5 · American 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 13 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baking with a Bass | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1428 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Burger Barn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Burgers | 713 S Main St | open |
| Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1120 NW Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| Burgess Renovation, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 640 NW Yennie St | open | |
| Captain's Sports Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 301 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1251 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1111 S Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 101 S Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| Champs Chicken Champs Chicken | Quick service · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Mexican · Dessert · Chicken / wings · Coffee · Bakery | 723 S Main St | open |
| Cheezteak Company | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 1452 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Culver's Culver's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1180 NW Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| Dave's Basement Bar | Bar · Quick service | Japanese | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 451 Sw Eagles Parkway | open |
| El Maguey El Maguey Kansas City- Martin City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 102 S Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| El Tequilazo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 522 S Main St | open |
| Gambino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1430 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Good People Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 101 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Grain Valley Tropical Sno | Dessert | Dessert | 1400 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Iron Kettle Taphouse | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 508 N Main St | open | |
| Lins Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 111 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Long Shots Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 112 SW Eagles Pkwy | open | |
| Lotawana Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 9420 S Shrout Rd | open | |
| Main St Sweets | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 201 N Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 712 N Main Street | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1051 S Buckner Tarsney Rd | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1060 NE MCQUERRY Rd Ste B | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1203 South Buckner Tarsney Road | open |
| Pepper's | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1400 SW Eagles Pkwy | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Porky's Blazin' Bar-b-q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 9512 S Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| Rivera Maya Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 522 S Main St | open |
| Sloan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 813 SW Cross Creek Dr | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 706 Main | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1140 NW Buckner Tarsney Rd, Grain Valley, MO 64029, United States | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1140 NW Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 109 W AA Highway | open |
| sugar shack | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 203 S Main St | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1101 N. Buckner Tarsney | open |
| The Local Table and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 511 N Main St | open |
| Valley Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 109 W Front St | open |
| Valley Pub & Patio | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 640 Yennie St | open | |
| Valley Social Coffeehouse | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 120 S Buckner Tarsney Rd | open |
| Wahlburgers @ Hy-vee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 625 E US Highway 40 | open |
| With Love | Bakery · Food truck | Bakery | 703 SW Nelson Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 6 | — | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 8 | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 7 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 8 | — | 3 | NAICS2022 |