BMIE Market 64057

Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±904 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,307 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,141 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,296 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,966 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,191 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$256,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,871 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64057
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	31.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+207.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 36–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64057. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.6	66	40%	+26.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	36.5	36	35%	+12.8
Market Momentum Score	35.7	36	25%	+8.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,328	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	71,402	49	40%	+19.7
Households (ACS)	6,307	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.0	17	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.9	22	25%	+5.6
Population (ACS)	14,328	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	71,402	49	20%	+9.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-13.0	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (75)

By cuisine

American 20 · Coffee 12 · Dessert 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Pizza 5 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · African 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 22 · Casual dining 11 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 9 · Bar 8 · Bakery 6 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
54th Street Grill & Bar 54th Street Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	18700 E 38th Terrace S	open
Applebee’s Grill + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2035 Independence Center #2114	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	20111 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2531 S M-291 Hwy	open
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Dessert · Café · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	235 Independence Center Drive Ste 2305	open
BD's Mongolian Grill BD's Mongolian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Asian	19750 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Black Bear Diner Black Bear Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4053 S Little Blue Parkway	open
Black Bear Diner Black Bear Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4053 Little Blue Pkwy	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	20110 East Jackson Drive Hartman Heritage Center	open
Carabas Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Italian		open
Catrinas Tacos & Tequilas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	19801 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	18813 East 39th St S #104	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	18813 E. 39th St. South #104	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	18785 E 39th St S	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18900 E. 39th St.	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	20140 E Jackson Dr	open
Corner Cafe Independence	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	4215 Little Blue Pkwy	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4220 S Little Blue Pkwy	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4045 Little Blue Pkwy	open
Dippin' Dots	Dessert	Dessert	18805 E 39th St S	open
Doctors Orders Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	19600 E 39th St S	open
Dragonfly Tea Zone	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	18801 E 39th St S	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2400 South Hwy 291	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	4131 S Little Blue Pkwy	open
Emichole Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	18801 E 39th St S Ste 1142	open
Erin's Pub	Casual dining · Bar		3010 Rte 291	open
Fazoli's Fazoli's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	19008 East 39th St S	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	19007 E 39th St S	open
Frosty Frogs Water Ice	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	18801 E 39th St S Ste 1102	open
Gloria Jean's Coffees	Coffee shop	Coffee	18813 E 39th St S Ste 2128	open
Gold Lion Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2411 Rte 291	open
Great American Cookies Great American Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	18813 E 39th St S	open
Hereford House Hereford House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	19721 E Jackson Dr	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	20100 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Jackson County Medical Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17221 E 23rd St S Ste 100	open
Jazz A Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	19700 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	20120 E Jackson Dr	open
Joe's Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	20001 E Jackson Dr	open
Kasbah Hookah Company	Bar		2904 Sweet Briar Dr	open
Kobe Japanese Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Japanese	19800 E Valley View Pkwy	open
La Fuente Mexican Restaurant La Fuente Smithville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2325 Rte 291	open
Let's Go BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Korean	18801 East 39th St S	open
Little Blue Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4131 S Little Blue Pkwy	open
Little Tokyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	18801 E 39th St S	open
Loaded Fries	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2210 Rte 291	open
Maggie Moo's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	19130 E 39th St S	open
McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	19130 East 39th Street South Suite K	open
Minsky's Pizza Minsky's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2551 Rte 291	open
Momma C Garden & Bakes	Bakery	Bakery	Independence	open
MyVillage-grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	3010 Mo-291	open
Napoli Pizza VRG Brands	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	Food Court, 18801 East 39th St S	open
Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	20000 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20100 E Valley View Cir	open
Patio Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	19700 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2411 S 291 Highway Jackson	open
Rae's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	2411 Rte 291 J	open
Route 291 & 23rd St Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2300 S MO 291 Hwy	open
Saints Pub and Patio Saints Pub Independence	Casual dining · Bar		20220 E Jackson Dr	open
Sal's Original Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18801 E 39th St S	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2300 S MO 291 Hwy	open
Shawarmar	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	20130 E Valley View Pkwy	open
Smokehouse Barbecue Smokehouse BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	19000 East 39th St S	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4001 South Jackson Drive	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	18710 East 39th St S	open
Summit Pizza - Independence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3010 Route 291	open
Sung Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18801 E 39th St S Ste 104	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2491 S. State Route 291	open
Tjs Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	Center Mall, 18801 East 39th St S	open
Topsy's Popcorn Baskin-Robbins	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	18801 E 39th St S Ste 2110	open
Twin Peaks Twin Peaks Restaurants	Bar · Casual dining	American	19821 E Jackson Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4105 S Little Blue Pkwy	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2528 S 291 Hwy	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	20130 E Valley View Cir	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service		19007 East 39th St. S	open
On The Border Mexican Grill & Cantina	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	19921 E Jackson Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	20	17	6	5	5	2	NAICS1997
1999	15	12	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	5	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	19	17	6	5	5	1	NAICS1997
2002	28	24	10	6	7	1	NAICS1997
2003	37	32	14	10	7	1	NAICS2002
2004	37	32	11	13	8	1	NAICS2002
2005	40	36	13	14	9	1	NAICS2002
2006	39	35	13	13	9	1	NAICS2002
2007	43	40	17	13	10	1	NAICS2002
2008	44	41	20	14	7	1	NAICS2007
2009	44	42	21	15	6	1	NAICS2007
2010	46	44	19	18	7	—	NAICS2007
2011	46	42	18	15	9	1	NAICS2007
2012	49	44	18	15	9	1	NAICS2012
2013	51	46	21	14	9	1	NAICS2012
2014	51	46	21	14	9	1	NAICS2012
2015	48	44	21	14	7	1	NAICS2012
2016	45	41	20	13	6	1	NAICS2012
2017	46	43	21	15	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	44	40	19	15	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	48	44	22	16	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	47	43	22	15	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	45	43	21	16	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	45	41	20	15	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	42	40	17	17	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64057. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64056	2.9 mi	15	2023
64015	3.7 mi	43	2023
64055	4.5 mi	113	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.