BMIE Market 64082

Jackson County, Missouri · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,068 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,280 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,981 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±443 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,456 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,188 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$131,453 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,483 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,756 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$411,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 64082
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+220.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,500.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 64082. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Missouri and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 668, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.7	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.0	73	35%	+25.5
Market Momentum Score	45.3	45	25%	+11.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,068	81	40%	+32.6
Median household income (ACS)	131,453	93	40%	+37.3
Households (ACS)	6,981	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	35%	+17.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.0	80	25%	+20.1
Population (ACS)	20,068	81	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	131,453	93	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.9	22	50%	+11.0
10-year restaurant growth	6.7	51	30%	+15.3
20-year restaurant growth	220	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Chinese 3 · Mexican 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 13 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 5 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
150 & Hollywood Drive Whataburger	Quick service		204 SW MO-150 Hwy	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	200 SW State Route 150	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	209 SW Greenwich Dr	open
El potro mexican cafe El Potro Mexican Cafe Paola KS	Café	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Coffee	210 SW Greenwich Dr	open
G A Sports Bar - General Admission	Bar		3512 SW Market St	open
Ghetto Fabulous Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Quick service · Bar		3800 SW Boulder Dr	open
Goodcents	Other	Sandwiches	869 SW Lemans Lane	open
Hwy 150 & Regatta Dr Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	805 SW MO 150 Hwy	open
Journey well	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	1700 SW Market St	open
La Fuente La Fuente Smithville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	899 SW Lemans Ln	open
LaMar's Donuts and Coffee LaMar's Donuts and Coffee	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	3801 SW M 291 Hwy	open
Lean Kitchen - Lee’s Summit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	3548 SW Market St	open
Love Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	813 SW Lemans Ln	open
Lucky Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3536 SW Market St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	125 Sw State Route 150	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	865 SW Lemans Ln	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3751 Southwest Raintree Drive	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3739 SW Hollywood Dr	open
Pizza Shoppe & Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3504 SW Market St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Royal Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	857 SW Lemans Ln	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	805 SW MO 150 Hwy	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	180 Southeast Mo-150 Highway	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	155 Mo 150	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1299 SW Arbor Walk Blvd, Unit A	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3532 SW Market	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3701 SW Hollywood Drive	open
The Lodge KC	Bar		3753 SW Raintree Dr	open
Tokyo Grill Hibachi & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3528 SW Market St.	open
Wally's Grill & Drafthouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	837 SW Lemans Ln	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	S Mo-291	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	204 SW MO-150 Hwy	open
Yes Master Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3757 SW Raintree Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	10	8	1	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	2	6	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	2	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	11	2	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	17	12	5	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	19	15	6	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	17	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	17	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	17	7	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	16	5	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 64082. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
64081	3.4 mi	36	2023
64149	3.4 mi	—
64063	4.5 mi	73	2023
64083	4.7 mi	32	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.