BMIE Market 66007

Leavenworth County, Kansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,150 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±377 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,736 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±268 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,614 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,265 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$121,266 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,890 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,245 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$381,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,603 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	31.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 66007
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+266.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	68 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 66007. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kansas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 462, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.7	79	40%	+31.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84.2	84	35%	+29.5
Market Momentum Score	67.8	68	25%	+17.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,150	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	121,266	91	40%	+36.3
Households (ACS)	3,736	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	266.7	99	35%	+34.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.8	69	25%	+17.3
Population (ACS)	10,150	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	121,266	91	20%	+18.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	266.7	99	30%	+29.7
20-year restaurant growth	120	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
BluTaco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	2406 N 155th St Ste A	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15441 Wolf Creek Pkwy	open
China Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15510 State Ave #6a	open
Chrome	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13930 Mitchell Ct	open
Daylight Coffee & Donuts	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert · Bakery	15518 Pinehurst Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	15630 Pinehurst Dr	open
Flashbacks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	15510 State Ave #1	open
Golden China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	15510 State Ave	open
Heroes Billiards	Bar		15518 Pinehurst Dr	open
Holy-Field Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		18807 158th St	open
Kelley's Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	15540 State Ave	open
MaBelles	Casual dining · Bar		13930 Mitchell Ct	open
Perky's Cafe & Catering	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	15510 State Ave	open
Rodeo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	15510 State Ave #11	open
Simple Simon's Pizza Simple Simon’s Pizza of Farmington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15302 Briar Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15516 State Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	15498 State Avenue	open
Taste & See Baking	Bakery	Bakery	2617 N 157th St	open
The Big Smoke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2406 N 155th St	open
The Nest Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	4605 Clubhouse Dr	open
The Rusty Wagon	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	15520 State Ave	open
Traci's Shaved Ice -Basehor,Ks	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2705 N 155th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	1	—	—	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	3	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	2	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	1	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	5	3	—	3	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	8	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	6	3	—	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	7	4	1	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	9	6	2	4	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	9	6	1	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	14	10	3	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	12	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 66007. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
66012	5.0 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.