BMIE Market 66043

Leavenworth County, Kansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±99 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,471 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,787 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,193 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,060 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,406 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$271,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 66043
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+183.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+325.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 66043. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kansas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 462, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.8	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.8	64	35%	+22.3
Market Momentum Score	56.1	56	25%	+14.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,056	72	40%	+28.9
Median household income (ACS)	103,060	83	40%	+33.1
Households (ACS)	3,471	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	11,056	72	20%	+14.5
Median household income (ACS)	103,060	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	183.3	91	20%	+18.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Quick service 8 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	291 N Main St	open
China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	121 Express Ln	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	402 N Main St	open
Daniel's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	834 N Main St	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	237 N Main St	open
Htn Lllc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		480 N Main St	open
Ichiban Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse	871 W Eisenhower Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	484 N Main St	open
Jarvy's Shave Ice	Restaurant (service type not stated)		211 N Main St	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	834 N Main St	open
La Carreta Mexican Restaurant La Carreta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	121 Express Ln	open
La Mesa Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	710 N Main St	open
Low-N-Slow Midwest BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	106 S Main St	open
Palomino Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		710 N Main St	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		484 N Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	407 N Main St Leavenworth	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	329 N Main St	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	721 Centre Dr	open
Sdi Of Lansing Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		715 Center Dr	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	715 Town Center Drive	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4824 S 4th St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	501 N Main St	open
Sunshine Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	816 N Main St	open
Sushi Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	482 N Main St	open
Taco John's Taco John's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	480 N Main St	open
Ten & Two Coffee Lansing Ten & Two Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	712 1st Terrace	open
The Groggery	Bar		800 N Main St	open
Tri Bar Resort	Bar		400 E Eisenhower Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	6	4	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	4	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	8	6	4	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	4	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	16	6	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	7	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	7	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	16	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 66043. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
66048	4.3 mi	52	2023
64028	4.7 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.