BMIE Market 67204

Sedgwick County, Kansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,538 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,794 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,003 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±652 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,194 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,599 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,390 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,064 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$163,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,934 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	16.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 67204
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 8–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 67204. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kansas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 462, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.2	70	40%	+28.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.5	70	35%	+24.7
Market Momentum Score	65.7	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,538	83	40%	+33.4
Median household income (ACS)	71,999	50	40%	+20.1
Households (ACS)	9,003	84	20%	+16.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.8	89	25%	+22.2
Population (ACS)	22,538	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	71,999	50	20%	+10.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	30	83	50%	+41.6
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Mexican 16 · Latin American (other) 6 · Bakery 5 · American 4 · Burgers 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Dessert 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 5 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Amigos 3 Amigos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Burgers	2317 N Arkansas Ave	open
Antojitos Doña Monse	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2632 N Fairview Ave	open
Armando's Mexican Grill 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2227 N Arkansas Ave	open
Bakery Projects	Bakery	Bakery	1025 W 29th St N	open
Bill's Charcoal Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	2957 N Arkansas Ave	open
Defazio's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2706 N Amidon Ave	open
Deli Fresas de la Baja 646	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	2227 N Arkansas Ave	open
Ducess Bar	Bar		W 30th St N	open
El Papa Pollo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	808 W 25th St N	open
El Puerto Seafood & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)		808 W 25th St N	open
Freeze Dried Candy And Snacks By Bolder Snacks	Dessert		2726 N Amidon Ave Ste 100	open
Joyce's Rendezvous	Bar		614 W 33rd St N	open
Kelly's Sweet Creations	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	2726 N Amidon Ave	open
La Jerezana Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2227 N Arkansas Ave AVE	open
Lil Red Garter	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3400 W 53rd St N	open
Mariscos Culichi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		2435 N Arkansas Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2616 West 53rd St N	open
Mr. Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	711 W 25th St N	open
Paleteria La Reyna	Dessert	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2925 N Arkansas Ave	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5400 N Meridian Ave	open
Penny's Caravan	Bar		2260 N Coolidge Ave	open
Plaza Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	808 W 25th St N	open
Road Runner Mexican Fast Food	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Mexican	2437 W 53rd St N	open
Sharks Nest	Bar		4100 N Seneca St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	2707 West 53rd Street	open
Tacos Chepe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	614 W 33rd St N	open
Tacos El Chaparro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	508 West 29th St N	open
Tacos El Tapatio	Restaurant (service type not stated)		808 W 25th St N	open
Tacos Perez	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2347 N Arkansas Ave	open
Tacos Porfias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	344 W 29th St N	open
Taqueria El Fogon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2604 N Arkansas Ave	open
Taqueria El Habanero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	808 W 25th St N	open
Tortilleria Los III Potrillos	Bakery	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Bakery	318 West 29th St N	open
Up In Sweets	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2726 N Amidon Ave	open
Vero’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		3455 N Wellington Pl	open
Las Mananitas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2347 N Arkansas Ave	closed
Laura's Superstore Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		808 W 25th St N	closed
Taqueria Del Norte	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	808 W 25th St N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	13	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	12	7	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	14	10	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	18	15	7	5	3	3	NAICS1997
1999	16	12	5	3	4	4	NAICS1997
2000	14	11	5	2	4	3	NAICS1997
2001	16	10	5	2	3	6	NAICS1997
2002	18	10	4	3	3	8	NAICS1997
2003	19	13	5	5	3	6	NAICS2002
2004	20	13	6	3	3	7	NAICS2002
2005	20	14	7	4	2	6	NAICS2002
2006	18	12	5	4	2	6	NAICS2002
2007	15	10	4	4	2	5	NAICS2002
2008	18	12	4	7	1	6	NAICS2007
2009	17	12	6	5	1	5	NAICS2007
2010	17	12	6	5	1	4	NAICS2007
2011	15	12	7	4	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	16	12	5	7	—	4	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	5	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	12	8	4	4	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	11	7	3	4	—	4	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	6	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 67204. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
67219	2.4 mi	24	2023
67205	3.7 mi	58	2023
67203	4.4 mi	60	2023
67214	4.4 mi	46	2023
67220	4.4 mi	16	2023
67260	4.6 mi	3	1997

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.