BMIE Market 70128

Orleans Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,069 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,113 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,524 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$56,431 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,835 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,182 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±109 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$240,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,272 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70128
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+35.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+90.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70128. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.2	59	40%	+23.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.6	68	35%	+23.7
Market Momentum Score	68.6	69	25%	+17.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,986	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	56,431	24	40%	+9.5
Households (ACS)	7,798	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	35%	+26.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	22,986	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	56,431	24	20%	+4.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	11.8	70	50%	+34.8
10-year restaurant growth	35.7	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	35.7	56	20%	+11.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

American 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 7 · Seafood 5 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · BBQ 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5961 Bullard Ave Suite 3	open
Blaze Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	5941 Bullard Ave	open
Breaux's Pizza And Wine Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5931 Bullard Ave Ste 7	open
Bullard Seafood and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7025 Bullard Ave	open
Bullard Wireless, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5931 Bullard Ave Ste 1	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	5999 Bullard Ave	open
Chanie's Cupcakes & Cakes Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7701 Arcadia Ln	open
China House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7040 Bullard Ave	open
Chris' Cakes And Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7030 Bullard Ave	open
Critique	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	5800 Bullard Ave	open
Don Villavaso	Bar		5931 Bullard Ave	open
Dong Phuong Oriental Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Chinese · Asian	4938 Meadowbank St	open
Duong Phong Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Bakery · American	11432 S St Andrews Cir	open
East Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7030 Bullard Ave Ste D	open
Eedo’s Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	11831 I 10 Service Rd	open
Fire Food & Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	5951 Bullard Ave	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	12150 I 10 Service Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6009 Bullard Ave	open
Kingswood Sub	Quick service · Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Love Lab Bar And Grill Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11831 I 10 Service Rd	open
Madchef At 59th	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5941 Bullard Ave Ste 7	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	6005 Bullard Rd	open
Napoli Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	7500 Bullard Ave #102	open
New Orleans Hamburger & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1200 I-10 Service Rd.	open
New Orleans Hamburger & Seafood Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	12000 I 10 Service Rd	open
Nohsc New Orleans East	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Seafood · Coffee	12000 I-10 Service Rd	open
Organic Healing Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	7951 Arcadia Ln	open
Orleans Brothers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	5941 Bullard Ave	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6003 bullard ave	open
Perkins Landing	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11960 Hayne Blvd	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Quick service		5601 Bullard Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5961 Bullard Ave Ste 1	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	6000 Bullard Ave., Wal-Mart #912	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	I-10 And Bullard Ave	open
Sunny Side Up Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5951 Bullard Ave	open
Sweetqueeneverythang	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5951 Bullard Ave Ste 6	open
Sweets & Eats Cupcakes	Dessert	Dessert	5951 Bullard Ave Ste 1	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		6007 Bullard Ave	open
Tempo Creole Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5921 BULLARD Ave Ste 7	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		12150 I 10 Service Rd	open
Thai Nola	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5931 Bullard Ave	open
The Shake Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5941 Bullard Ave #5	open
Tony's Super Cajun Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	5971 Bullard Ave	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	11951 I-10 Service Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	6020 Bullard Ave	open
WOW Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5951 Bullard Ave	open
Yeung Li Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7040 Bullard Ave	open
Pizazz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7921 Bullard Ave Ste 1b	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	8	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	5	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	11	3	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	4	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	17	5	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	18	5	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	18	4	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	19	4	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	19	5	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70128. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70127	1.8 mi	20	2023
70126	4.3 mi	18	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.