BMIE Market 70420

St. Tammany Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±821 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,883 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,345 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,036 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,171 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,560 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,171 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$290,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	63.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70420
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 7–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70420. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.1	64	40%	+25.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.6	72	35%	+25.1
Market Momentum Score	72.4	72	25%	+18.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,950	67	40%	+26.9
Median household income (ACS)	78,171	60	40%	+23.9
Households (ACS)	2,883	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	35%	+27.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.8	77	25%	+19.2
Population (ACS)	7,950	67	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	78,171	60	20%	+11.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	40	77	30%	+23.1
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Coffee 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abita Brew Pub Abita Brew Pub	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		72011 Holly St	open
Abita Roasting Company Abita Roasting Co. Madisonville	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee		open
Abita Snoball Stand	Quick service		22132 Level St	open
Abita Springs Cafe	Dessert · Café	Coffee · Dessert · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	22132 Level St	open
Coop Too, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		72011 Holly St	open
Core Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	70326 Highway 59	open
Frabbieli's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	22697 Talisheek Hwy	open
Honey's Snoball Shack	Dessert		71360 LA-59	open
Izzy’s sweet treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	21223 Orme St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	71011 Highway 59	open
Latino grocery express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		70271 Highway 59	open
Mama D's Pizza & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	22054 LA-59	open
Maple Street Bakery Abita Springs	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	21470 LA-36	open
Milicevic Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		28480 LA-435	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	70326 LA-59 Bldg 1, Suite 3 Bldg 1, Suite 3	open
Rosie's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		22067 Highway 59	open
Shannon's Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		70117 LA-59	open
Teabana	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	22049 Main St	open
Vera’s Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	69455 Highway 59	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	11	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	8	7	3	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	7	5	2	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70420. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70464	4.4 mi	—

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.