BMIE Market 70435

St. Tammany Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,475 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,753 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,481 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±573 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,603 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,637 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,926 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,756 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,290 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$282,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,824 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	104.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70435
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+60.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+166.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70435. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.2	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.9	87	35%	+30.4
Market Momentum Score	91.4	91	25%	+22.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,475	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	80,926	63	40%	+25.3
Households (ACS)	8,481	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	166.7	96	35%	+33.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.6	96	25%	+24.0
Population (ACS)	22,475	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	80,926	63	20%	+12.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	60	92	50%	+46.2
10-year restaurant growth	166.7	96	30%	+28.8
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Quick service 5 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Barker's Brew	Coffee shop	Coffee	78482 LA-437	open
Barkers Corner	Bar			open
Barnyard Pizza & Poboys	Restaurant (service type not stated)		77151 La-21	open
Big Daddy's Bayou Booze Barn	Bar		542 Huseman	open
Cafe Milne Seafood and Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1065 Milne Cir	open
Colt & Crumbs	Bakery	Bakery	Cottage bakery	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	73015 LA-25 Ste B1	open
Ellen's Snowballs & Old Fashioned Malts	Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	78495 Highway 437	open
Fuel Up Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	19765 LA-40	open
Jace's Jerky	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	75372 Henderson Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	79056 Hwy 40	open
Matts Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	73005 Highway 25	open
Mimi’s snowballs	Dessert		LA-25	open
Miss Lezlye Ann Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	72438 St Landry St	open
Mr. Taco Truck	Food truck		79070 Highway 40	open
Narrow Path Christian Academy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	77151 Highway 21	open
Pelican Nutrition Twenty One	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	77151 Highway 21	open
PJ's Coffee PJ's Coffee of Hammond	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	73015 LA-25	open
Rick's Catfish Cabin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Lee Road	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	78482 LA-437	open
Sweet Compositions	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	73150 Taylor Rd	open
Vintage Court	Bar		75082 Highway 25	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	73111 Highway 25	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	73632 Hwy 25	open
Fritz Culver Inc""	Restaurant (service type not stated)		73765 Penn Mill Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	—	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70435. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70457	2.1 mi	1	2007

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.