BMIE Market 70438

Washington Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,969 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±554 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,540 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,149 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,864 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$824 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$168,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,054 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	347.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70438
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+69.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+69.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 24–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	30 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70438. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.1	56	40%	+22.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.1	44	35%	+15.4
Market Momentum Score	29.9	30	25%	+7.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,349	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	52,864	19	40%	+7.5
Households (ACS)	7,969	81	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.4	21	35%	+7.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.4	67	25%	+16.7
Population (ACS)	19,349	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	52,864	19	20%	+3.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 30 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12	17	50%	+8.6
10-year restaurant growth	-4.4	21	30%	+6.4
20-year restaurant growth	69.2	74	20%	+14.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (68)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 9 · Bakery 6 · Juice / smoothies 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Seafood 4 · Italian 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Quick service 14 · Café 8 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 3 · Buffet 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Akita Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1012 Washington St	open
Angkor Village Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	942 Washington St	open
BackWoods Living Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	27117 LA-62	open
Bessie's Sweet Retreat	Casual dining	American	939 Washington St	open
Big's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	53148 Highway 438	open
Black & Gold Plates To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24095 Penton Rd	open
Blimpie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	1800 Washington St	open
Bo's Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	30184 LA-25	open
Bogue Chitto Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1102 Main St	open
Bogue Chitto Cafe	Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1102 Main St	open
Bourne's Seafood Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	25329 LA-62	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	739 Washington St	open
Cafe Bouchee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1103 Cleveland St	open
Cafe On The Green	Café	Coffee	46402 Poplarhead Rd	open
Cat-Eye's Cheesecakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	47526 Highway 10	open
Choctaw Snowball Stand	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	26461 Choctaw Rd	open
Crawfish express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		27117 Highway 62	open
Don Juan Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1137 Washington St	open
Donut House	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	939 Ellis St	open
Fair City Cafe 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1102 Main St	open
Five & Two	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	52127 Highway 436	open
Franklinton Eat Out	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	950 10th Ave	open
Giovanni's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	26743 Pine Plz	open
Glynn's Drive-In of Franklinton	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	207 Main St	open
Grand Chinese Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	1601 Washington St	open
Grindstone Coffee @ Forshags	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1809 Main St	open
Heavenly Cakes LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	30390 Highway 424	open
J & T Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	21256 Highway 16 Ste 5	open
J and T Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	21256 LA-16	open
Jackie's Cake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1318 Greenlaw St	open
Landers Spears	Bar		44588 Highway 438	open
Lane's Chicken & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	701 11th Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	702 Washington St	open
Mike's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	952 15th Ave	open
Old School Bbq	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	27163 Highway 62	open
One Smokin Fella BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1938 Washington St	open
Paige’s Cozy Corner	Bakery	Bakery	16299 Highway 450	open
Patten’s Snoballs	Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee	46085 Highway 10	open
Pine Malt Stand	Casual dining · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	28001 LA-424	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1120 Washington St Washington	open
Pizza Inn Pizza Inn	Buffet	Pizza · Italian	1611 Washington St	open
Pizza Pete's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	945 Cleveland St	open
Polar Express Poboys	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	27113 Highway 62	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1420 Washington St	open
Red Brick Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	980 Lee St	open
Rosy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop		1900 Washington St	open
San Miguel Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Italian	913 Washington St	open
Scoops II	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1513 Washington St	open
Sheridan Seafood Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chinese	24129 Highway 62	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1621 Washington St	open
Southern Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop	Juice / smoothies	1721 Washington St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	935 Washington St	open
Sugar Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1223 Washington St	open
Superior Wholesale Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1002 Spring St	open
Swamp Monster Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Seafood	913 Washington St	open
Sweet Pea's Treats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	942 Washington St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1230 Washington St.	open
The Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	28101 Nobles Cemetery Rd	open
The Cookie Jar	Dessert		2320 Jones St	open
The Corner Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Hot dogs	1828 Greenlaw Ave	open
Thomas Downtown Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Steakhouse	31044 Highway 424	open
Tienda Latina Taqueria and Grocery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1940 Washington St Ste B	open
Tilly’s Snowballs	Quick service · Food truck	Hot dogs	25446 Harvey Rd	open
Waiting for you.	Bar		50339 Highway 1072	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	709 Washington Street	open
What's Up Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	941 Ellis St	open
Windfield Farm Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	16768 Kat Kaw Rd	open
Wingdom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	702 11th Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	15	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	19	6	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	20	8	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	22	9	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	18	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	17	9	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	19	10	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	20	9	9	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	22	10	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	23	23	13	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	19	19	9	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	19	7	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	22	8	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	25	9	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	25	11	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	25	9	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	25	8	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	27	27	7	10	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	22	6	10	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70438. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.