BMIE Market 70466

Tangipahoa Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,148 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,599 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,613 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±568 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,512 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,466 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,807 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,166 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$941 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$166,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38,136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	34.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2022 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2022 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70466
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2017 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2012 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2027	1 (range 0–3) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2010–2022 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70466. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2010–2022, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.4	58	40%	+23.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.7	51	35%	+17.7
Market Momentum Score	42.9	43	25%	+10.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,148	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	65,807	40	40%	+16.0
Households (ACS)	3,613	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.0	98	25%	+24.4
Population (ACS)	10,148	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	65,807	40	20%	+8.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

American 3 · Coffee 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 9 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
442 Sugar Shack	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14469 LA-442	open
Bustin' Loose Snowballs and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	12277 Highway 442 W	open
Caffè 442	Casual dining · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	American · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	14469 Highway 442	open
Country Kitchen Cafe	Café	Coffee	13154 Highway 442 W	open
El Ranchito \| Mexican El Ranchito Grocery & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	49019 Highway 51	open
G’s Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1234 kitchen	open
Hammond/Natalbany, la	Bar		US-51	open
Hangover Hangar	Bar		30523 Aviation Ln	open
Karla's snack	Dessert · Food truck		49035 Highway 51	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13154 Highway 442 W	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	48012 Highway 1065	open
Lele's Food Laboratory	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		Hwy 1064	open
Madear and Daddy Snow	Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	46263 Durbin Rd	open
Pizza Pro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	31391 N Cafeline Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14069 Hwy 442	open
The Sneaux Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	50331 US-51	open
Thriv'n Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	50053 US-51	open
Your Confectionery Queen LLC	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	46581 Durbin Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70466. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70451	1.8 mi	1	1996
70401	3.6 mi	81	2023
70402	4.1 mi	1	2014
70443	5.0 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.