BMIE Market 70538

St. Mary Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±697 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,895 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±392 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,844 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,286 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,407 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$733 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$117,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,671 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	230.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70538
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-18.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+18.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70538. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	51.6	52	40%	+20.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	41.8	42	35%	+14.6
Market Momentum Score	40.6	41	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,464	74	40%	+29.6
Median household income (ACS)	52,407	18	40%	+7.2
Households (ACS)	4,895	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.4	71	25%	+17.7
Population (ACS)	12,464	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	52,407	18	20%	+3.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	-18.8	14	20%	+2.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 12 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 8 · Seafood 8 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · African 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adams’ Snoball	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	905 Iberia St	open
Ameripure Processing Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	803 Willow St	open
Annie Mae's Restaurant & Pastries	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · African	1411 Barrow St	open
Annie Mae's Soul Food Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	103 Wilson St	open
Barabin's Sno Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		315 Morris St	open
Barto's Real Soul Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	911 Willow St	open
Blazinwings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Chicken / wings	1015 Main St	open
Brown’s Boiling house	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1820 Main St	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1829 Main St	open
Candys	Bar · Dessert		15814 Highway 182	open
City Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	1828 Main St	open
CJ's Food Express	Food truck	American · Seafood	309 Highway Ave	open
Danny's Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	819 Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	212 Sterling Dr	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1724 Main St	open
Faded Kool Corner Snack Shack	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1103 Irish Bend Rd	open
Forest Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1909 Main St	open
Franklin Fuelz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	1032 State Rte 317	open
Great Wall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	212 Sterling Rd	open
Guadalajara Mexican Grill of Franklin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1416 Northwest Blvd	open
Hong Kong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1828 Main St	open
Joe Clayton’s On The Bayou	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 Wilson St	open
Joe's Lounge	Bar		Carl C Foulcard Dr	open
K and L Crawfish Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1698 Iberia St	open
Kountry Flavor Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	606 Anderson St	open
L & E Express Daiquiris	Bar		1423 Joe Hoy Dr	open
Lamp Station Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	723 Main St	open
Lamplighter Coffeehouse LITE	Coffee shop	Coffee	1029 Northwest Blvd	open
Landry's Hot Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1104 Main St	open
Main St Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Main st	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1900 Main St	open
MD'z Plaze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	607 Main St	open
Polito's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	710 Main St	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1501 Joe Hoy Dr	open
Raisa Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	1200 Main St	open
Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1015 Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1805 West Main	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1502 Main St Ste 5	open
The Lamp Lighter Coffeehouse & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	731 Main St	open
The Lamp Post	Coffee shop	Coffee	731 Main St	open
The Sweets by Thelisha	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	800 Guidroz St	open
The Waterhole	Bar		708 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	11	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	16	11	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	18	13	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	20	15	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	22	17	5	11	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	22	18	7	10	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	21	18	9	8	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	18	16	7	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	14	5	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	17	16	5	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	16	15	6	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	19	18	6	10	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	15	6	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	17	3	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	20	18	3	14	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	19	16	3	13	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	15	3	11	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	19	16	3	13	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	15	3	11	1	4	NAICS2012
2013	20	15	3	11	1	4	NAICS2012
2014	16	13	2	11	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	2	10	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	16	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70538. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70514	5.0 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.