BMIE Market 70734

Ascension Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,213 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,293 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,857 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,554 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,578 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$128,975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,607 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$850 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$344,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±43,644 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	27.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70734
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+550.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+333.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	71 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70734. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.2	78	40%	+31.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.0	68	35%	+23.8
Market Momentum Score	71.0	71	25%	+17.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,213	70	40%	+27.8
Median household income (ACS)	128,975	93	40%	+37.1
Households (ACS)	2,857	66	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.1	56	25%	+14.0
Population (ACS)	9,213	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	128,975	93	20%	+18.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	550	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (26)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 3 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arceneaux's on the River	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9438 LA-75	open
Big Slice Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	13201 LA-73 #101	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	13455 Hwy. 73	open
Call2Fix	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast		open
CJ Garage Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		12347 Oak Fields Dr	open
Crazy Ray's Crawfish	Food truck	Seafood	13475 LA-73	open
DominosPizzaGeismarLa36508EventRd Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	36508 Event Rd	open
Double J Foods, L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13353 Highway 73 Ste C	open
Dutchtown Coffee Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	13375 Highway 73 Ste G1	open
Griffin Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	36508 Event Rd	open
John Michael's Good Eats	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		13424 Highway 73	open
Kaminari Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	LA-73	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13012 Hwy 73	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	13496 Highway 73	open
Mis Padres Dutchtown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	13424 LA-73	open
Mission Street Cafe	Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Coffee	13475 LA-73	open
Moe's Cafe Greek and Lebanese and more	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	13375 LA-73	open
New Orleans Original Daiquiris	Bar		13375 Highway 73 Ste F	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13375 Highway 73 Ste J	open
Shelley's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	13253 LA-73	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Delivery-focused	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	13011 HWY 73 Suite B	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	13339 Highway 73	open
South 73 Lunchroom	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13375 LA-73 g2	open
South Of Philly	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37052 Rivergate Ave	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	13353 Hwy 73, Suite C	open
TCBY	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	13475 Highway 73	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	6	4	—	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	5	—	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	6	4	—	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	—	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	9	1	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	1	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	1	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	12	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	12	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	12	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	3	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70734. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70737	4.5 mi	102	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.