BMIE Market 70774

Ascension Parish, Louisiana · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,041 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±323 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,076 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,050 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,422 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,083 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,006 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$256,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,100 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	52.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 70774
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2009–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.54) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	97 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 70774. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2009–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.54, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Louisiana and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 362, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.1	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.1	89	35%	+31.2
Market Momentum Score	97.2	97	25%	+24.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,041	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	102,422	82	40%	+33.0
Households (ACS)	3,441	69	20%	+13.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	35%	+34.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.0	97	25%	+24.4
Population (ACS)	10,041	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	102,422	82	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	200	99	50%	+49.5
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	30%	+29.2
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · American 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bar 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Quick service 3 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Black Bayou	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
BPB Back Porch Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		12473 Thomassie Rd	open
Cajun Daiquiris	Bar		11296 LA-431 A	open
Crawfish X-press	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	10660 LA-431	open
Duckroost Seafood and Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood · Sandwiches	13277 LA-431	open
Fisherman's Wharf	Bar		9002 LA-22	open
Lagniappe Restaurant on the Diversion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11172 River Highlands Dr	open
Leader's Fried Chicken Leader's Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	44014 LA-431	open
Mais La Coffee and Tea	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	44018 Gold Place Rd	open
Makayla's Snow Shack	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	13295 LA-431	open
Marlin's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11296 LA-431	open
Pj's Landing	Bar		45264 Paul Rd	open
San-A-Maw Craw	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13017 Highway 431	open
Soul Sips Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	12475 River Highlands Dr	open
St. Amant Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	44014 LA-431 Suite H	open
St. Pierre's Southern Sno	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	12516 Highway 431	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	11520 Hwy 431	open
Swamp Chicken Daiquiri's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		13489 Highway 431	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	2	—	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	5	2	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	4	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	5	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	3	1	1	—	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	3	1	—	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	3	1	—	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	6	3	—	1	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	7	4	1	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	4	1	—	1	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	5	2	—	2	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	5	2	—	2	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	3	1	—	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	4	1	—	1	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	3	1	—	1	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	5	3	—	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	3	2	—	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	2	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2019	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 70774. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
70778	5.0 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.