BMIE Market 71909

Garland County, Arkansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,449 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,135 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±654 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,508 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,128 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,759 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	67.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,192 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$265,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,685 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	79.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 71909
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+61.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+93.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+222.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	32 (range 28–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 71909. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arkansas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 342, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.1	71	40%	+28.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.9	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	82.6	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,449	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	75,433	56	40%	+22.3
Households (ACS)	9,135	84	20%	+16.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	61.1	86	35%	+30.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.7	50	25%	+12.6
Population (ACS)	18,449	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	75,433	56	20%	+11.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.1	82	50%	+40.8
10-year restaurant growth	61.1	86	30%	+25.9
20-year restaurant growth	93.3	79	20%	+15.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (50)

By cuisine

American 14 · Coffee 7 · Bakery 5 · Mexican 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Pizza 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 7 · Café 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amore's Pizzeria and Bakery	Bakery	Pizza · Italian · Bakery	4501 N Highway 7	open
Artfully Baked and Brewed	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1398 DeSoto Blvd	open
Balboa Club Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 Balboa Way	open
Beehive Neighborhood Hangout	Bar		220 Minorca Rd	open
Blue Springs Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6225 AR-7 Jessieville AR	open
Cafe Isabella	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	American · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	110 Iniciador Way	open
Cafe' Magellan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	451 Ponce de Leon Dr	open
Casa Coronado Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Coffee shop	Coffee	199 Surtidor Way	open
Charlie's Pizza Pub	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	127 McNeely Cir A	open
Clampits Country Kitchen	Specialty food shop	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5398 N Hwy 7	open
CM Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	400 Brookhill Ranch Rd	open
Debra's bakery and More	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3595 N Hwy 7	open
Debra's Burgers	Food truck	Burgers · American	3595 N Hwy 7	open
Debra's Good Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American	198 Carmona Rd	open
Dolce Vita Italian Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	111 Ponderosa Ln	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4656 N Highway 7	open
El Acapulco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2800 N Hwy 7	open
El Jimador Grill \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	107 Desoto Center Dr	open
El Padrino JP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4640 N Hwy 7	open
El Tata’s Mexican	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2858 N Highway 7	open
Granada Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Latin American (other)	250 Maderas Dr	open
Home Plate Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	5110 N Hwy 7	open
JK's Columbus Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Kroc-Coo's Cajun Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4501 N State Hwy 7, Suite 1	open
Last Chance Lakeside Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	488 Ponce De Leon Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4447 Hwy 7 N	open
Melinda's Coffee Corner & Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches · Breakfast	372 E Glazypeau Rd	open
MidKnight Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		110 Calella Rd	open
Mountain Valley Retreat Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1366 N Highway 7	open
Mulligan's on Ponce	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	300 Ponce De Leon Dr	open
Pizza Pro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4545 N Highway 7	open
R Bar	Bar · Casual dining		R Bar Lane	open
Raffaella Rose	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	299 Cortez Rd Ste B	open
Ray's Sweet Snow Shaved Ice	Dessert	Dessert	3597 N Highway 7	open
Sand Trap Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		4501 N Hwy 7	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4700 North Highway 7	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4700 N Highway 7	open
Soulicious Southern Smokehouse and Soulfood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4656 N State Hwy 7	open
Strawberry Mountain Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Hot springs village	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4501 N Hwy 7, Suite #9	open
Sunset Grill Sunset Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	488 Ponce De Leon Dr	open
Tb Restaurant Management Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 Ponderosa Ln Ste A	open
The Hideaway Bar & Grill at Cortez	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		299 Cortez Rd	open
The Mix Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3648 AR 7 D	open
Tim's Done Right Crawfish and BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3044 AR 7	open
Village Pub	Bar		4501 N Highway 7	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3604 N Highway 7	open
West Village Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	4656 N Hwy 7	open
Wyles One Stop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6003 AR 7	open
Great Wall Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4419 N Highway 7	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	18	14	10	4	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	19	15	10	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	9	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	20	16	11	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	11	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	11	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	18	16	10	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	22	13	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	19	14	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	29	28	22	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	24	24	18	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	20	14	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	18	14	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	22	21	17	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	21	20	16	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	19	18	13	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	16	11	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	18	13	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	20	15	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	25	18	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	23	15	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	24	15	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	22	12	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	23	15	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	26	17	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	29	21	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 71909. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.