BMIE Market 72104

Hot Spring County, Arkansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,624 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±719 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,479 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,354 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,832 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$54,774 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,575 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$127,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,999 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	326.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 72104
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 24–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.24) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 72104. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.24, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arkansas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 342, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.8	59	40%	+23.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.1	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	67.1	67	25%	+16.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,624	84	40%	+33.7
Median household income (ACS)	54,774	21	40%	+8.6
Households (ACS)	8,479	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	23,624	84	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	54,774	21	20%	+4.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12	70	50%	+35.0
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	27.3	50	20%	+10.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (59)

By cuisine

American 16 · Mexican 9 · Chicken / wings 6 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · BBQ 3 · Asian 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Food truck 4 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 J's Wings and More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2212 Oliver Lancaster Blvd	open
Andy's of Malvern Andy's of Malvern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1100 E Page Ave	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	6716 AR-171	open
Bailey & Howard - Western Sizzlin, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		621 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1605 Riverpark Plaza Big Red #214	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1605 Riverpark Dr	open
Brick City Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	908 Dyer St	open
Brick House Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1103 E Page Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1609 Industrial Rd	open
Champs Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2666 Oliver Lancaster Blvd	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1622 Dr. Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Coffee Records	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	230 S Main St	open
Cotija Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1605 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Craigs Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	814 E Page Ave	open
D.J. 's Smokin Grill BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	848 N Main St	open
Debbie's Burrito's	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	456 E Page Ave	open
Don Elote Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1677 Industrial Rd	open
Donut Hole	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	910 Dyer St	open
El Parian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	621 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Fish Man’s LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		415 E Page Ave	open
Great Wall Buffet \| Chinese	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	2300 Leopard Ln	open
Happy Camper Snowballs	Dessert		447 E Page Ave	open
Happy Hearts on Wheels	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	801 US-270	open
Hobo Joe's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	892 W Moline St	open
J R's Dairy Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Ice cream / frozen desserts	30708 Highway 67	open
Jd Wright It Solutions Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2300 Leopard Ln Ste R	open
Jimmy's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	938 S Main St	open
KB's Love by the Pound and More	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1721 Martin Luther King Blvd Ste y	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2364 Hwy 270	open
La Cocina De Lucy	Food truck		1104 S Main St	open
La cocina de Lucy mexican food truck	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1673 Industrial Rd	open
Larry's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2300 Leopard Ln	open
Malvern, Hot Springs, Arkadelphia, Benton	Bar	Pizza	2487 Highway 270	open
Maria's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1201 E Page Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	307 E Page St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1920 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Mel's Dairy Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1228 Stanley St	open
Mug Shots Coffee - Malvern Mug Shots Coffee - Airport Rd/Chesswood Plaza	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7271 US-270	open
Picky Nikki's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Seafood	2212 Oliver Lancaster Blvd	open
Pizza Pro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1721 Martin Luther King Blvd Ste Y	open
Place Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	903 E Page Ave	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2034 Oliver Lancaster Blvd	open
Poppolo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1110 E Page Ave	open
Sassy's kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Burgers	526 Church St	open
Shelley's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1216 E Page Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1627 Highway 270 West	open
Sonic Drive-In	Coffee shop	Coffee	415 E Page Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2031 Oliver Lancaster Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1601 Hwy 270 West	open
T-Baby's Food Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		506 Section Line St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1601 Hwy 270, Ste #219	open
Taquería El Zacatecano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	710 W Page Ave	open
That’s Sho Good BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American		open
Valdivia Bros El Gallo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3213 Oliver Lancaster Blvd	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1921 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1902 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Western Sizzlin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	621 Martin Luther King Blvd	open
Yummy Hibachi on Wheels	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2212 Oliver Lancaster Blvd	open
Keeney's Food Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	101 W Mill St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	23	23	5	17	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	24	23	7	15	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	24	24	9	14	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	20	20	4	15	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	21	8	10	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	22	22	5	14	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	22	22	7	13	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	21	6	13	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	21	7	12	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	21	8	12	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	20	5	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	20	5	14	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	20	5	14	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	26	25	7	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	24	7	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	21	21	7	13	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	21	7	13	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	26	26	7	18	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	26	25	7	17	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	29	25	6	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	25	6	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	27	6	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	24	5	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	21	4	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	26	6	17	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	28	8	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 72104. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.