BMIE Market 72904
Sebastian County, Arkansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,529 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,893 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,447 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $41,909 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,786 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $842 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $111,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 13.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 72904 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -17.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -41.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 72904. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arkansas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 342, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 52.0 | 52 | 40% | +20.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 51.7 | 52 | 35% | +18.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 23.1 | 23 | 25% | +5.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,296 | 82 | 40% | +33.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 41,909 | 7 | 40% | +2.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,529 | 80 | 20% | +16.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.6 | 86 | 25% | +21.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,296 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 41,909 | 7 | 20% | +1.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -17.7 | 14 | 50% | +7.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (71)
By cuisine
Mexican 21 · American 11 · Asian 9 · Latin American (other) 9 · Bakery 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 4 · Coffee 4 · BBQ 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Thai 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Food truck 11 · Quick service 11 · Bar 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Other 3 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1127 Cafe' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4271 Grand Ave | open |
| 168 Sushi and Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3000 Midland Blvd | open |
| Al's Bar-B-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3956 N O St | open |
| Asian Kitchen Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 3842 Midland Blvd | open |
| Big Daddy D’s BBQ & D’s sweet treats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3800 Midland Blvd | open |
| Branding Iron | Bar | 4001 Midland Blvd | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3311 Midland Blvd | open |
| Chick-fil-A | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5210 Grand Ave, Smith-Pendergraft Campus Center | open | |
| Dairy Freeze | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5400 Midland Blvd | open |
| Dang Sticky Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3021 N Albert Pike Ave | open |
| Dela Fuente Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3305 Grand Ave | open |
| Delicias Hernandez | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 3901 N O St | open |
| Diamond Head | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 1901 Midland Blvd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 4421 Grand Avenue | open |
| El Grande Carnitas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 1933 Midland Blvd | open |
| El Rincon Latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 1716 N 6th St | open |
| Fried Rice (Midland Blvd) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai · Chinese | 3758 Midland Blvd | open |
| Gerber Products Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 4301 Harriet Ave | open | |
| Grandad's | Bar | 4009 Midland Blvd | open | |
| Green Papaya on Grand Ave | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Vegetarian · Asian | 4412 Grand Ave | open |
| Hangar 54 Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5727 Kelley Hwy | open |
| Hardee's Hardee's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4123 Grand Ave | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4207 Grand Avenue | open |
| La Guatemalteca Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 2310 Midland Blvd | open |
| La Victoria Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3516 N O St | open | |
| Lonchera Buen Samaritano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2400 Midland Blvd | open |
| Los Angeles Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 2915 Midland Blvd | open |
| Los Canastos Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3801 N O St | open |
| Los Del Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3627 Midland Blvd | open |
| Los Dos Carnales Food Truck | Food truck | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3800 N O St | open |
| Lupita's Taqueria y Pupuseria | Food truck | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 4825 Midland Blvd | open |
| Mariscos El Camarón | Food truck | Seafood · Mexican | 1900 Midland Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5712 Kelley Hwy | open |
| Mercado Tinajero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 3423 Armour St | open |
| Mexicán Food El Crucero | Food truck | Mexican | 3937 N O St | open |
| Mexican Tacos Don Lalo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3722 N O St | open |
| Mi Pate Food Truck | Food truck | Vietnamese · Asian | 4000 N O St | open |
| Oasis Tavern | Bar | 3215 Midland Blvd | open | |
| Pap's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | open | |
| Pasteleria Don Jose | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2001 Midland Blvd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5210 Grand Ave | open |
| Ps Eggrolls & Sticky Rice | Food truck | Chinese · Asian | 3434 Midland Blvd | open |
| Pupuseria Clarita | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3701 Grand Ave | open |
| Que Chulo Es Puebla | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 3303 Grand Ave | open |
| Red Dragon Fried Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3811 N O St | open |
| Restaurante Salvadoreño Norita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 2901 Midland Blvd | open |
| Rubi Snacks | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies | 2925 Midland Blvd | open |
| Sabor a Jalisco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3602 N O St | open |
| Sabor Azteca Family LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3416 N O St | open |
| Serenity Coffee Zumba Studio &Lounge | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Coffee | 3923 O St N | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2210 Midland Boulevard | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5210 Grand Ave | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2100 N 62nd St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4700 Grand Ave Ste B | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2100 N 62nd St | open |
| Sweet Rice And Noodles | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 3114 N Albert Pike Ave | open |
| Tacolicious LLC Fort Smith Ar | Food truck | Mexican | 5603 Midland Blvd | open |
| Tacos Aguascalientes | Food truck | Mexican | 2226 Midland Blvd | open |
| Tacos el Oaxaqueño | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 3201 Grand Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Bary | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2600 Midland Blvd | open |
| Taqueria El Pitayo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Mexican | 4000 N O St | open |
| Taqueria Pitayo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3303 Grand Ave | open |
| Taqueria Taco Landia | Food truck | Mexican | 3422 Grand Ave | open |
| The Cactus | Casual dining · Bar | 3028 Midland Blvd | open | |
| The Indian TACO | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2001 Midland Blvd | open | |
| The Rock | Bar · Casual dining | 3028 N 6th St | open | |
| ThirstySmoke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2809 Koller St | open | |
| Vega Landscaping LLC | Food truck · Quick service | Mexican | open | |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2100 N 62nd St | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4601 Grand Ave | open |
| Progressive Mens Club | Bar | 4624 Armour Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 16 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 16 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 19 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 18 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 18 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 18 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 17 | 7 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 20 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |