BMIE Market 72921
Crawford County, Arkansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 12,888 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±847 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,621 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,787 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,521 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $75,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,562 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $222,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,180 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 88.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 72921 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -8.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 20 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 72921. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arkansas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 342, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 66.5 | 66 | 40% | +26.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43.9 | 44 | 35% | +15.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 27.9 | 28 | 25% | +7.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 12,888 | 74 | 40% | +29.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,008 | 55 | 40% | +22.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,621 | 73 | 20% | +14.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 35% | +5.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.3 | 48 | 25% | +12.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 12,888 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 75,008 | 55 | 20% | +11.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -8.7 | 20 | 50% | +9.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -12.5 | 17 | 30% | +5.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 50 | 65 | 20% | +13.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (51)
By cuisine
American 11 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 15 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 4 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airedale Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 39 Collum Ln E | open |
| Airedale Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 536 Highway 71 N | open |
| Allen Canning Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 404 Fayetteville Ave | open |
| Belmont & Bloom | Bakery | Bakery | 7340 Belmont Dr | open |
| Blue Bell Creameries | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1625 Highway 71 N | open |
| Braum's Ice Cream & Dairy Store Braums | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 129 US-71 | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 501 N Hwy 71 | open |
| Catfish Hole Alma Catfish Hole Fayetteville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Seafood · American | 24 Collum Ln W | open |
| Chicken Wranglers Inc. | Quick service | Chicken / wings | 5225 Red Hill Rd | open |
| China Fun | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 536 US-71 | open |
| Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 431 Hwy. 71 North I-40 & US 71 | open |
| Crawpappy's Cajun Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1915 N Hwy 71 | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 705 Highway 71 N | open |
| El Trio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 214 Highway 64 E | open |
| El Trio Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 214 Dyer Highway 64 W | open |
| Freeze Queen | Dessert · Food truck | Dessert | 106 US-71 N | open |
| Frosty's SnowCones | Dessert · Food truck | Dessert | 200 Collum Ln E | open |
| Geno's Pizza of Alma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 216 US-71 N | open |
| Hilltop Travel Center & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8265 Highway 282 | open |
| Hog-n-dog Enterprises Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 108 Highway 71 N Ste 110 | open | |
| Jim Polly's Pizza Parlour Alma | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet | Pizza | 936 N Hwy 71 | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 469 Highway 71 N | open |
| La Fiesta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 506 Highway 71 N | open | |
| La Fiesta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 524 US-71 | open |
| Let's Eat | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 208 Collum Ln W | open |
| Mazzios Italian Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 621 Highway 71 N | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 247 Highway 71 | open |
| Nana Pat's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3603 N Hwy 71 | open |
| NeeNee's Cottage | Bakery | Bakery | 1681 Courtney Ln | open |
| Neubauer Restaurants Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 501 Highway 71 N | open | |
| Nicks pork rind And kettle corn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 730 Hall St | open | |
| Ozark mountain grill | Casual dining · Bar | American · BBQ | 8265 AR-282 | open |
| Pig n Pepper Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 220 Highway 64 W | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 415 W. Cherry St. Crawford | open |
| Red’s Place | Bar | 1501 W Newberry Rd | open | |
| Sdi Of Alma Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 120 Highway 71 N | open | |
| Shipley Do-nuts Smith's Food & Drug | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 621 Highway 71 N | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 120 Highway 71 North | open |
| SUBWAY Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 621 HWY 71 | open |
| Subway Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Chicken / wings | 8060 AR-282 | open |
| Sunshine and Flour | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | 533 Fayetteville Ave | open |
| Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 541 Highway 71 N | open |
| Tacos El Zancudo | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Mexican | 439 US-71 N | open |
| The Coffee Parlor | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 641 N Hwy 71 | open |
| The Depot Food Station | Food truck | 505 Fayetteville Ave | open | |
| The Frozen Zebra | Dessert · Food truck | Dessert | 34 US-64 | open |
| The Pizza Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · Pizza · American | 108 Highway 71 N | open |
| The Ray’s Shiver Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 220 US 64 Hwy W | open | |
| Zapata's Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 108 US-71 N | open |
| Awaken Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4510 N Highway 71 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 24 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 20 | 11 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 25 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |