BMIE Market 72936

Sebastian County, Arkansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,070 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±651 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,580 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,527 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,865 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,829 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,192 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$826 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$201,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,702 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	80.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 72936
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+72.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 13–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.29) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 72936. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.29, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arkansas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 342, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.4	65	40%	+26.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.8	64	35%	+22.3
Market Momentum Score	68.8	69	25%	+17.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,070	76	40%	+30.3
Median household income (ACS)	71,829	50	40%	+20.0
Households (ACS)	5,580	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.7	69	35%	+24.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.5	58	25%	+14.6
Population (ACS)	14,070	76	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	71,829	50	20%	+10.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.8	76	50%	+38.2
10-year restaurant growth	26.7	69	30%	+20.6
20-year restaurant growth	26.7	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (46)

By cuisine

Dessert 7 · Pizza 7 · American 6 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 5 · Asian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Dessert 10 · Quick service 10 · Food truck 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
10 EATS on The Spur	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1600 W Center St	open
Alaska Coffee Connection LLC	Coffee shop · Food truck · Café	Coffee	1600 W Center St	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	917 W Center St	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service	Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	921 W Center St	open
Bean Vibes	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	624 W Center St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	922 W Center St	open
Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	110 S Coker St	open
Da' Bayou Snowballs	Dessert	Dessert	110 S Coker St Ste F	open
Dar Home Office, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2332 Mount Zion Rd	open
Da’Bayou Boujee Candy Boutique	Dessert		110 S Coker St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	933 West Center Street	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	500 W Center St	open
doolie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3 S Main St	open
El Palenque Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	228 S Coker St	open
End Zone Snow Cones	Dessert		622 W Center St	open
Greek restaurant green wood 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	933 W Center St	open
Java House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Coffee · Sandwiches · Dessert	910 W Center St Ste E	open
Julz Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1245 W Center St A	open
KFC Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	820 West Ctr	open
L&J drive in	Food truck · Quick service		1600 W Center St	open
La Fiesta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	691 W Denver St	open
Lagunas, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		691 W Denver St	open
Lin's House	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	400 W Center St	open
Lola's Blessed Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9 N Main St	open
maverick s Mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3 S Main St	open
Mazzios Italian Eatery	Quick service · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	675 W Center St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	923 West Center Street	open
NC Asian Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1600 W Center St	open
Nutrition on the Square	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	20 Town Square St	open
Oh My Eggroll Place	Food truck	Asian · Chinese	5 S Main St	open
Pizza Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	2 S Adair St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	910 W. Center St. Sebastian	open
Pizza Pro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	321 N Main St	open
Scooter's BBQ & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1275 W Center St Ste G	open
Simply Smoked	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	620 W Center St	open
Sno-Shack	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies	402 W Center St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	848 W. Center	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1272 W Center St	open
SweetSpokes	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	622 W Center St	open
Taqueria Falcon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1600 W Center St	open
The Boujee Brim	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	N/A	open
The Doghouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		622 W Center St	open
The Little Blue Farmstand	Food truck		1414 W Denver St	open
The Nutrition Den Greenwood	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	910 W Center St	open
Title Town Feed House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		620 W Center St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	937 W Center St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	7	7	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	15	6	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	16	7	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	17	7	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	7	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	12	6	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	14	14	7	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	17	5	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	19	6	10	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 72936. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.