BMIE Market 74014

Wagoner County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	45,212 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±870 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,575 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±338 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	34,579 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,954 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$95,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,092 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,483 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$263,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	105.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74014
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+43.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+64.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+228.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+228.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 26–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74014. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.2	88	40%	+35.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.0	88	35%	+30.8
Market Momentum Score	89.2	89	25%	+22.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	45,212	96	40%	+38.3
Median household income (ACS)	95,501	78	40%	+31.1
Households (ACS)	15,575	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	64.3	87	35%	+30.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.1	91	25%	+22.9
Population (ACS)	45,212	96	20%	+19.2
Median household income (ACS)	95,501	78	20%	+15.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	43.8	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	64.3	87	30%	+26.1
20-year restaurant growth	228.6	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

American 11 · Mexican 9 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Caribbean 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 12 · Bar 8 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 Tequilas 3 Tequilas Mexican Grill & Cantina Broken Arrow	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	25695 East 71st St S	open
777 Thor Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4924 S 193rd East Ave	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2540 E Kenosha St	open
B52 Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21910 E 71st St S	open
BA Tacos	Food truck	Mexican	4103 S 193rd E Ave	open
Blue Bell Creameries Blue Bell Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8201 OK-51	open
Braum's Ice Cream & Burger Restaurant	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Sandwiches	20200 E 81st St S	open
Caribbean delight Lunch and catering	Catering	Caribbean	3371 S 208th E Ave	open
Casa De Reyes Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9050 S Highway 51	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2400 E Albany St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3825 E Kenosha St	open
Crab and Catfish Co BA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2538 E Kenosha St	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4924 S 193rd East Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		3900 E Hillside Dr	open
El Gorilla Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	21848 ok-51 broken arrow 74014	open
Ellen and Candra's Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	24220 E Hwy 51	open
Hawk's Nest Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	3100 New Orleans St	open
Houligan’s Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	22431 East 71st St S	open
Jefe's Mexican Cocina y Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	24188 E Hwy 51	open
Kings of Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	29160 E 28th St	open
Los Mariachis Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2534 E Kenosha St	open
Lukes BBQ LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	24767 OK-51	open
Maui Wowi of Tulsa	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies		open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3642 E Cherry Hill Ct	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	11091 S State Highway 51	open
Old School Bagel Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1140 N 38th St	open
Oneta Station Diner	Casual dining	American	24234 OK-51	open
ORIENTAL GARDEN	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	1160 N 38th St	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	24192 e highway 51	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2302 E Kenosha St Wagoner	open
Red's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	24192 E Highway 51	open
Rocket Jockey HOME Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		25276 E 91st Pl S	open
Rocking "R" Ranch House Restaurant	Casual dining · Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	7501 E Kenosha St	open
Round the Corner Bar & Grill	Bar		24100 E Hwy 51	open
Route 51 Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	24683 E Highway 51	open
Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	14601 E 51st S St	open
Scotfest	Bar		21101 E 101st St S	open
Senor Pancho Señor Pancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	21916 East 71st St S	open
Smokies Hickory House Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5251 E Kenosha St	open
Sorta Rican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Latin American (other)	4808 E Kenosha St	open
Southern Sass Snack Co.	Food truck		24725 E Highway 51	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3900 E Hillside Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Breakfast	Kenosha street	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	11081 So. Oklahoma State Highway 51	open
Tavern 33	Bar	American		open
The Gridiron Pub	Bar	American		open
Tiger Bite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	2550 E Kenosha St	open
Tigers Den Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2504 E Kenosha St	open
Timberbrook Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4920 E Kenosha St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	3900 E Hillside Dr	open
Warrens House of Shots	Casual dining · Bar		10421 S 200th East Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1101 N. 23rd Street	open
Wild Meadows Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	21910-D East 71st St S	open
Polar Bear's Arctic Ice	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21910 E 71st St S	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	—	2	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	3	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	12	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	14	3	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	4	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	14	4	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	16	15	4	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	17	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	21	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	19	7	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	20	7	10	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	25	8	11	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	23	7	9	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74014. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.