BMIE Market 74015

Rogers County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±432 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,338 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,064 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,766 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,687 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,053 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$231,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,076 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	60.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74015
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+87.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 35–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74015. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.8	63	40%	+25.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.0	60	35%	+21.0
Market Momentum Score	80.2	80	25%	+20.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,676	69	40%	+27.5
Median household income (ACS)	74,444	54	40%	+21.7
Households (ACS)	3,338	68	20%	+13.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	87.5	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	34.6	16	25%	+4.1
Population (ACS)	8,676	69	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	74,444	54	20%	+10.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	87.5	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	66.7	73	20%	+14.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 13 · Mexican 10 · Burgers 8 · Coffee 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amp Bar	Bar		19105 Timbercrest Cir	open
Boomarang Diner Boomarang Diner	Casual dining	American	1875 OK-66 Unit J	open
Bruce Okaley	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		328 N 321st East Ave	open
Carvers on 19	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	777 W Cherokee St	open
Catoosa Daylight Donuts Daylight Donuts	Quick service		750 S. Cherokee	open
Catoosa, OK Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	19298 E Admiral Place	open
China Bowl Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	19322 E Admiral Pl J	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2400 N Highway 66	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	750 S Cherokee St	open
dickey's barbeque pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	19361 Robson Rd	open
El Puerto Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	5244 N Highway 167	open
El Sauce Lloron	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1955 N Highway 66	open
Elle's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Vietnamese	501 S Cherokee St	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19361 Robson Rd. Suite #2	open
Flo's Burger Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	19322 E Admiral Pl	open
Flying Burger & Seafood Catoosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Seafood	37 S 193rd East Ave	open
Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers Freddy's Frozen Custard & Steakburgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	19341 Haynes Rd.	open
Gin's Apple Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2861 N Highway 66	open
I Don't Care Bar And Grill I Don’t Care Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		11015 E 590 Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	2020 S Cherokee St	open
Izzys Mexican Flat Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	25702 E Admiral Pl	open
Las Parrillas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	509 S Cherokee St	open
Lucidity Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1607 U.S. Route 66	open
Margo's-Catoosa	Food truck		603 S Cherokee St	open
Mazzios Pizza Mazzio's Pizza Tahlequah	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	19322 E Admiral Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	300 N 193rd E Ave	open
Molly's Taqueria	Food truck · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · Mexican · Seafood	2680 N Old Highway 66	open
Nutrition Stomp	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	750 S Cherokee St	open
Oh Mighty Ices	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	603 S Cherokee St	open
Oklahoma Joe's BBQ and Catering Oklahoma Joe's BBQ and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	19361 Robson Rd	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	19731 Robson Rd	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	19731 Robson Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	19353 Robson Rd	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2020 S Cherokee St	open
Pecan Porch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast		open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	308 N 193rd East Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1875 N Highway 66	open
Pool Bar	Buffet · Bar		777 W Cherokee St	open
Puerto del Sol Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	5244 OK-167	open
Ron's Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1875 N Highway 66	open
Route 66 Diner	Casual dining	American · Burgers	19250 Timbercrest Cir	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	19298 E Admiral Pl	open
Señor Pancho Cuisine & Cantina-Catoosa Señor Pancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2400 OK-66	open
Simple Simon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19105 Timbercrest Cir	open
Simple Simon's Pizza Simple Simon’s Pizza of Farmington	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	2550 U.S. Route 66	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19305 E Admiral Pl	open
Sonic of Catoosa, OK 1033 Sonic Summer Nights	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	19801 Robson Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19801 Robson Road	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5248 OK-167	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Mexican	1100 N 193rd East Ave	open
Taco Bueno Taco Bueno	Quick service	Mexican	2030 S Cherokee St	open
Taco Mayo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	311 N 193rd East Ave	open
The Hungry Rooster	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19296 E Admiral Pl	open
The Lodge Eatery and Pub - Catoosa	Casual dining · Bar		2036 Miller Ln	open
Toby Keith's I Love This Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	777 S Cherokee St	open
Tulsa Hard Rock Cafe McGills Hard Rock Hotel & Casino Punta Cana	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American		open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	19260 Timbercrest Cir	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2021 S Cherokee	open
Hard Rock Casino The Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Casual dining · Buffet · Bar · Café	Coffee · American	19250 Timbercrest Cir # 1925	closed
J&h’s Okie Cones	Dessert	Dessert	2705 N Old Highway 66	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	18	16	6	10	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	6	8	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	18	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	18	16	6	9	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	18	7	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	18	18	8	9	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	15	7	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	14	5	8	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	6	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	5	8	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	18	17	8	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	7	9	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	19	8	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	20	8	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	21	9	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	29	26	11	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	27	25	10	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	28	11	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	30	14	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	30	14	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	27	13	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	30	15	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74015. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
74108	4.9 mi	2	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.