BMIE Market 74021

Tulsa County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,628 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,058 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,311 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,359 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,708 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,091 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$245,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,619 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74021
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 13–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74021. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.2	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.2	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	71.6	72	25%	+17.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,628	84	40%	+33.7
Median household income (ACS)	92,091	75	40%	+30.1
Households (ACS)	8,311	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	35%	+23.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.8	85	25%	+21.3
Population (ACS)	23,628	84	20%	+16.9
Median household income (ACS)	92,091	75	20%	+15.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.1	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	23.1	66	30%	+19.7
20-year restaurant growth	45.5	61	20%	+12.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (47)

By cuisine

American 10 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Coffee 6 · Burgers 4 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 9 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 7 · Café 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Food truck 4 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
116th St Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	13001 E 116th St	open
All Day Cravings	Food truck		11595 E 116th St N	open
Ape Hangers Cocktail Lounge	Bar		1002 W Main St	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches	5350 East 146th Street N.	open
Blissful Sips	Food truck · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	11595 E 116th St N	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	111 N 9th St	open
CNS Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		11276 E 176th St N	open
Corner Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American	530 W Main St	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	106 N 9th St	open
Doug's Grill	Casual dining	American	701 W Main St	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13001 E 116th St N	open
El Jalapeno Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	801 W Main St	open
Flip's Shaved Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	11111 E 116th St N	open
Heather B’s Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1112 W Main St	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11690 N Garnett Rd	open
Jack of Clubs	Bar		11907 N 113th E Ave	open
Karen's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	415 W Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	137 S 5th St	open
Los Tres Hermanos Los Tres Hermanos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	906 W Main St	open
Macaronage Sweets & Patisserie	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1003 W Main St	open
Mazzio’s Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	211 E Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11604 N 135th E Ave	open
Mom's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11691 N 113th East Ave	open
Philly's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11907 N 113th East Ave	open
Philly's & Co	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	11907 N Garnett Rd	open
Piggly Wiggly	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 N 17th St W	open
Scoops & Grinds	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Bakery	1023 W Main St	open
Sdi Of Collinsville, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		207 E Main St	open
Shanghai Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	915 W Main St	open
Silver Dollar Cafe	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1022 W Main St	open
Simple Simons Pizza Collinsville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	619 W Main St	open
Slush Face Slushies	Food truck · Quick service			open
Smokey Joe's BBQ #3 Owasso	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Catering		11595 E 116th St N	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14531 North 52nd East Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	207 E Main	open
Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	14531 N 52nd East Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	701 W Main St	open
Sugar'd Spoon Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	112 N 11th St	open
Sweet Em’s Snow Cones	Dessert	Dessert	11595 E 116th St N	open
T3 Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	113 S 11th St	open
Teresa Ann's Dandelion Diner Llc	Casual dining	American	705 W Main St # 705	open
The Cake Lady Collinsville	Bakery	Bakery	912 W Main St	open
Tyson's Shaved Ice	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	706 W Main St	open
Vera Grocery & Grill	Quick service · Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	39250 N 4000 Rd	open
Wing-It Sweets	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2115 W Brook St	open
Wolf Wellness	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls		open
Smok N Guns Bbq Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	619 W Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	12	5	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	12	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	8	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	18	18	11	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	19	17	9	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	13	5	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	15	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	15	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	4	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	16	6	6	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74021. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.