BMIE Market 74029

Washington County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,331 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,128 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,303 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,821 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$912 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$151,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34,853 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	45.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74029
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	10 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74029. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.5	47	40%	+19.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.9	44	35%	+15.4
Market Momentum Score	10.3	10	25%	+2.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,331	61	40%	+24.6
Median household income (ACS)	57,821	26	40%	+10.4
Households (ACS)	2,205	62	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	35%	+4.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.6	89	25%	+22.4
Population (ACS)	5,331	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	57,821	26	20%	+5.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 10 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	-25	12	30%	+3.5
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Coffee 4 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Backroads Bar	Bar		926 Portland Ave	open
Black Ivory Bru House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	105 S Osage Ave	open
Bobbyq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		915 N Osage Ave	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	401 S Osage Ave	open
Chilly Willie's Shaved Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	246 S Osage Ave	open
Dobbie's Bar Dobbies	Bar		901 Portland Ave	open
Dogger Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1120 N Osage Ave	open
Godfather's Pizza Express Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2390 North Osage Avenue	open
Half Dollar	Café	Coffee	101 S Osage Ave	open
Hitchin' Post	Bar		815 N Delaware St	open
La Fiesta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	317 S Osage Ave	open
Sabores \| Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	317 S Osage Ave	open
Scissortail Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		623 E Don Tyler Ave	open
Simple Simon's Pizza Simple Simon’s Pizza of Farmington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	414 E Don Tyler Ave	open
Sippin' Sweet Co.	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Bakery	306 E Don Tyler Ave	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	304 S Osage Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2392 N Osage Ave	open
Sunrise Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	1108 N Osage Ave	open
Sunrise Donuts of Dewey, OK	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	1069 NE Washington Blvd	open
The Dark Side Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		414 E Don Tyler Ave	open
Tasty's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		229 S Osage Ave	closed
The Eatery By 3 Kids & A Cake	Bakery	Bakery	915 N Osage Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	7	6	3	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	6	2	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	2	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	6	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	1	3	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74029. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.