BMIE Market 74429

Wagoner County, Oklahoma · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,622 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±307 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,445 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,697 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$229,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,390 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	84.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 74429
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+70.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	55 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 74429. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oklahoma and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 436, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.0	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.9	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	55.0	55	25%	+13.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,622	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	76,929	58	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	6,094	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	35%	+17.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.2	71	25%	+17.8
Population (ACS)	16,622	78	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	76,929	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.3	63	50%	+31.5
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	30%	+15.2
20-year restaurant growth	13.3	41	20%	+8.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (56)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 4 · BBQ 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Pizza 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 10 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bar 3 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1843 On Broadway	Casual dining · Bar	American	124 S Broadway	open
Amy's Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	131 S Broadway	open
Antojitos Arroyo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	13872 OK-51	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	13589 S State Highway 51	open
Beijing Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	13757 OK-51	open
Billy Sims BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	13481 E Highway 51	open
Burger King	Quick service		28709 E Highway 51	open
Cactus Cones	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	13729 OK-51	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11085 S State Hwy 51	open
Chalita’s Mexican Tacos	Food truck	Mexican	14401 S State Highway 51	open
Coweta Billy Sims BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	13481 S Highway 51	open
Coweta Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	13565 OK-51	open
Dixie's Cafe	Café	Coffee	127 S Broadway	open
El Señor Salsa Senor Salsa Bartlesville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	13427 OK-51	open
Fish Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	11319 E Hwy 51	open
Flava Dave’s Energy & Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	11319 S State Highway 51	open
Good Dog Coney Shop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	111 E Chestnut St	open
Goodfella's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	124 N Broadway	open
Guerrero’s Restaurant (Taqueria Guerrero)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	127 S Broadway	open
J B's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	13743 OK-51	open
Kim's Coney Shop	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	111 E Chestnut St	open
Lil T's dinner box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	417 E Chestnut St	open
Live Lean Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	13745 S State Highway 51	open
Los Tequilas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	13637 OK-51	open
Mark's Place	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	13731 OK-51	open
Mazzio’s Pizza & Wings Mazzio's Pizza Tahlequah	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	13735 S E Hwy 51	open
McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		921 Highway 51b	open
Meat Society	Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 N Broadway	open
Nutrition 51	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	13745 OK-51	open
OK-51 & E Dogwood St Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	14195 OK -51	open
Overflow Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	111 S Broadway	open
Roy's Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	14121 OK-51	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	14195 OK-51	open
Sdi Of Coweta Ok Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11117 S State Highway 51	open
Segoku Hibachi & sushi Coweta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	29183 E 141st St S	open
Simple Simon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11150 S 265th East Ave	open
Simple Simon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		30455 E State Highway 51	open
Simple Simon’s of Coweta	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11150 S 268th East Ave	open
Smokin Son of A Gunn BBQ & Catering	Catering	BBQ · American	30003 E 138th Pl S	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11117 E Hwy 51	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service		13565 S State Highway 51	open
Split Rail Bar-B-Que & Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	12038 S 274th East Ave	open
Sports Page Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	13747 OK-51 Ste b	open
Sports Page Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	13747 E Highway 51	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	11207 S State Highway 51	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14050 OK-51	open
T-Johnny's Seafood and Cajun Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	309 E Oak St	open
Taco Bueno Taco Bueno	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	506 N Broadway	open
The Coffee Container	Coffee shop	Coffee	41699 State Highway 51	open
The New Green Parrot Cafe, LLC	Café · Casual dining	American · Coffee	111 N Broadway	open
The Other Bar	Bar			open
The Pass By	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	123 E Chestnut St	open
The Singleton Company Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11319 S State Highway 51	open
The Turnpike Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		33044 OK-51	open
Twisted Sifters	Dessert	Dessert	141st Street	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	11207 S State Highway 51	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	22	16	7	9	—	6	NAICS1997
1999	20	14	6	8	—	6	NAICS1997
2000	18	13	7	6	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	4	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	15	9	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	9	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	16	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	9	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	8	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	8	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	17	15	5	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	19	17	6	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	6	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	19	8	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	19	18	7	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	19	18	6	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	16	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	18	8	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	8	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 74429. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.