BMIE Market 75009
Collin County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 34,260 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,556 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,605 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±782 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 8,785 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,074 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $168,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,848 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,369 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $515,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,071 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 98.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75009 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +92.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +316.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +316.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +316.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 28–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.8 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 94 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 93 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 96 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75009. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 94 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.9 | 93 | 40% | +37.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 93.4 | 93 | 35% | +32.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 96.4 | 96 | 25% | +24.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 34,260 | 91 | 40% | +36.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,250 | 98 | 40% | +39.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,605 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 93 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 316.7 | 99 | 35% | +34.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.3 | 83 | 25% | +20.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 34,260 | 91 | 20% | +18.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 168,250 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 96 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 92.3 | 94 | 50% | +47.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 316.7 | 99 | 30% | +29.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 316.7 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (69)
By cuisine
American 9 · Bakery 7 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Italian 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 16 · Bar 10 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Casual dining 6 · Café 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Brew Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4525 South Preston Road | open |
| Aaha Kitchen - Celina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 2750 S Preston Rd | open |
| Acapulco Mexican Restaurant No 1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 805 E Pecan St | open |
| AW, Nuts | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 3213 Sky Ln | open |
| Barkley's and Muttley's Dog House | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 104 S Kentucky Dr | open | |
| Best Burger Barn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2750 S Preston Rd Ste 112 | open |
| Bojangles' Bojangles' | Quick service | 3615 South Preston Road | open | |
| Bongo Beaux’s Bourre Palace & Cajun Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 218 W Walnut St | open | |
| Carmela Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 132 N Louisiana Dr | open | |
| Celina Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Sushi · Japanese | 1513 Preston Rd | open |
| Celina Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 2705 S Preston Rd, Suite 102 | open |
| Celina Star Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Coffee | 709 E Pecan St | open |
| Chick-Fil-A | Quick service | 4801 High Point Dr | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle | Quick service | 3520 S Preston | open | |
| Church's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1513 S Preston Rd | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 2750 South Preston Rd. Suite 114 | open |
| Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 695 North Preston Road #110 | open |
| Donut Delight Donut Delight | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 235 W Pecan St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 1000 S Preston Rd | open | |
| Eden Hill Winery Eden Hill Retreat & Spa | Winery / distillery / taproom | 4910 Eden Hill Ln | open | |
| Embizdays, Inc. Dba Jk Donuts | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2750 S Preston Rd Ste 109 | open | |
| Farm Stand on 428 | Bakery | Bakery | 16362 FM-428 | open |
| Five Guys - Coming Soon Five Guys | Quick service | Ownsby Parkway | open | |
| Granny's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 401 W Pecan St | open |
| Hairy Gorilla Snowballs | Dessert | 102 S Louisiana St | open | |
| Hey Sugar Candy and Ice Cream Hey Sugar Candy Store | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 303 W Pecan St | open |
| Heyday | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 322 W Walnut St | open | |
| Honey Creek BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 9535 Coyote Call Rd | open |
| Jimbo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 501 W Walnut St | open |
| Juicy Bottoms Shaved Ice Company | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 212 N Oklahoma Dr | open |
| Khatib & Zubi Holdings, Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1050 S Preston Rd Ste 112 | open | |
| Kolache Shoppe Kolache Shoppe | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 605 S Preston Rd | open |
| Legacy Bagels Legacy Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 2750 Preston Rd | open |
| Little Wooden Penguin | Bar | 212 N Oklahoma Dr | open | |
| LSA Burger Co. Celina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 218 W Walnut St | open |
| Lucy's on the Square | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 127 N Ohio St | open |
| Mangiamo Italian Market & Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza | 203 W Pecan St | open |
| Matthew's Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 16634 Celina Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4565 S Preston Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 994 S Preston Rd | open |
| Millies Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1050 S Preston Rd | open |
| Nowhere Bar - Celina | Casual dining · Bar | 501 W Walnut St Ste. 100 | open | |
| OMG Tacos OMG Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Asian | 605 S Preston Rd #110 | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express | Quick service | 3530 S. Preston Rd. | open | |
| Papa Gallo's Mexican Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 241 W Pecan St | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 605 s preston rd | open |
| QTC Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5010 Dogwood Dr | open |
| Rice & Noodle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 2750 S Preston Rd | open |
| Rollertown Beerworks | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 412 N Oklahoma Dr | open | |
| Shape City Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 3815 Alleyton Way | open |
| Silos In Celina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 300 N Oklahoma Dr | open | |
| Simply Pho House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 605 S Preston Rd Ste 130 | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1313 South Preston Road | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1255 S Preston Rd | open |
| Stella's Ice Cream - Celina, TX Stella’s Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 206 N Louisiana Dr | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2750 S. Preston Rd. Suite 100 | open |
| Summer Moon Coffee Summer Moon Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 306 W Walnut St | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 1002 S. Preston Road | open |
| Taste of Rome | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1050 S Preston Rd | open |
| Tender Smokehouse Tender Smokehouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 224 W Pecan St | open |
| Thai360 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 590 W Frontier Pkwy | open | |
| The Nook CKMC | Café · Casual dining · Bar | Coffee | 1230 Homestead Ct | open |
| The Wick Restaurant | Bakery · Bar | Breakfast · Bakery | 107 S Colorado St | open |
| Toasted Walnut Table and Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Italian | 304 W Walnut St | open |
| Torchy's Tacos Torchy's Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3505 S Preston Rd Suite 120 | open |
| Valley Vines | Bar | 222 W Walnut St Ste 100 | open | |
| Whataburger Whataburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4405 S Preston Rd | open |
| Wholesome Thyme | Bakery | Bakery | 3305 Ivywood Pl | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 525 South Preston, Ste 105 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 9 | — | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 24 | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 27 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.