BMIE Market 75065

Denton County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,657 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,158 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,748 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,127 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$102,597 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,400 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,665 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$334,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75065
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+46.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+216.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+137.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 10–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75065. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.0	78	40%	+31.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.4	67	35%	+23.6
Market Momentum Score	81.8	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,657	75	40%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	102,597	83	40%	+33.0
Households (ACS)	5,158	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	35%	+21.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.9	57	25%	+14.2
Population (ACS)	13,657	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	102,597	83	20%	+16.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	46.2	89	50%	+44.3
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	216.7	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (77)

By cuisine

American 12 · Mexican 9 · Dessert 6 · Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Coffee 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Quick service 16 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Café 5 · Food truck 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Legion Post 88 American Legion	Bar		105 Gotcher Ave	open
Angelina's Don Louis Mexican Restaurant Angelina's Mexican Restaurant in Hickory Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	101 Baize Blvd	open
Artis Lp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		531 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
Artis, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		531 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
Beatitudes Tearoom	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	211 Main St	open
Bell Street Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Oakwood St	open
Better Beer Revolution	Bar			open
Chasin Tail Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	601 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3550 FM 2181	open
Chili's Grill & Bar - Closed	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	8394 S Stemmons Fwy	open
Chilitos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	619 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
cookies4milk	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	507 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
Ctb, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
D's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3568 FM2181	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1043 Hickory Creek Blvd.	open
Don Camillo Tuscan Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1225 Turbeville Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		1035 Hickory Creek Blvd	open
El Parasol El Parasol Lake Dallas	Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Juice / smoothies	209 S Shady Shores Dr	open
Elm Fork Taphouse & Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar		1221 Turbeville Rd	open
Elotes Locos TX	Food truck		120 E Hundley Dr	open
FM 2181 & Hickory Creek Whataburger	Quick service		4250 FM 2181	open
Genti's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3700 FM 2181	open
Genti's Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3700 FM2181	open
Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	401 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
Golden Chick	Quick service		2730 Southview Dr	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2730 Southview Dr	open
Groovy Chicken and Waffles Denton	Food truck		8310 S Stemmons Fwy	open
Hickory Creek Food Truck Park	Food truck		8310 S Stemmons Fwy	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	8310 S Stemmons Frwy	open
J Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	104 E Hundley Dr	open
Lake Dallas Point Restaurant & Sportsbar	Bar · Casual dining	American	303 Swisher Rd Ste 100	open
Liberation Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	314 S Shady Shores Dr	open
Linnybird Bakeshop & Coffee Bar	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	5006 S Stemmons Fwy	open
Lone Star Steakhouse and Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	8398 S Stemmons Fwy	open
Los Amigos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	274 Main St	open
Low Tide Lounge	Bar		201 Morris St	open
Lucky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1851 Turbeville Rd	open
Marvelice Sno Cones	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 E Hundley Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8300 S Stemmons Fwy	open
Mechicano's Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1006 S Stemmons Fwy	open
Mr Gatti's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1035 Hickory Creek Boulevard	open
Mrs. Lively's Cajun Konnection	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	721 E Hundley Dr	open
Nana's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	274 Main St	open
NJ's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3568 Swisher Rd	open
Onyx Dine and Drinks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6060 N Stemmons Fwy	open
Our Daily Bread	Food truck		3770 FM 2181	open
Ozzie's Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	615 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
Palio's Pizza Cafe	Café	Pizza · Italian · Coffee	4048 FM 2181	open
Pho Luv	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1030 Hickory Creek Blvd	open
Rice Pot Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4000 FM2181	open
Roma Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	6060 N Stemmons Fwy	open
Romanos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	102 E Hundley Dr	open
Sahara Mediterranean Grill & Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · American	304 Swisher Rd	open
Silva's Silva's Mexican American Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	630 S Lake Dallas Dr	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Quick service		3100 FM 2181, Ste 101	open
Snappy Snow - Hickory Creek	Dessert	Dessert	3700 FM 2181	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	101 Main Street	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4150 Teasley Lane	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Coffee	4600 Swisher Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1006 S Stemmons Fwy	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	102 Hundley Drive, #108	open
Subway	Other · Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1035 Hickory Creek Blvd	open
Sushi Expres Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		303 Swisher Rd Ste 210	open
Taqueria El Palomino	Food truck · Quick service	Mexican	3630 Swisher Rd	open
Taqueria Lombardia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3862-3912 Teasley Lane	open
Taqueria Los Pinos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	305 W Hundley Dr	open
Tea Time With Jesus	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Dessert · Coffee	275 Market St #100	open
The Clubhouse Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	105 Gotcher Ave Ste A	open
The Pig Pen	Bar		616 Main St	open
Tredways BBQ & Country Fixin's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	721 E Hundley Dr	open
Trickler's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	108 E Hundley Dr	open
Tucker, Richard And Lee, Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3572 FM 2181	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1035 Hickory Creek Blvd	open
Walter's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	201 Main St	open
Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	3100 Swisher Rd	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	4250 FM 2181	open
Roach And Roach Holdings Llc - Lake Dallas Cinos Series, A L	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	13	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	14	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	14	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	2	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	8	6	4	2	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	12	10	6	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	7	1	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	9	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	17	16	6	6	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	20	9	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	7	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	14	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	20	8	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75065. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
75077	3.8 mi	74	2023
75057	4.5 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.