BMIE Market 75072

Collin County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	55,087 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,600 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	18,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±744 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	Data source not yet connected
Housing units	Data source not yet connected
Median household income	$165,682 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,064 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,512 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$502,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,657 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75072
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+53.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 2017 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 17–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2017–2023 (7 points, +1.8 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	97 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Consumer Market Score	97 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	97 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75072. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2017–2023, +1.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 97 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	97.4	97	40%	+52.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	97	97	35%	+45.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	55,087	98	40%	+39.1
Median household income (ACS)	165,682	97	40%	+39.0
Households (ACS)	18,052	96	20%	+19.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 97 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.6	96	25%	+36.9
Population (ACS)	55,087	98	20%	+30.1
Median household income (ACS)	165,682	97	20%	+30.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 5 · Breakfast 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Indian 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 6 · Café 4 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
AC Snow Cone	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	9050 Falcon View Dr	open
Back Yard Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	13391 S Custer Rd	open
Bnm Adira Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		470 Adriatic Pkwy Ste 1101	open
Bojangles' Bojangles'	Quick service		210 South Central Expressway	open
Brunch Time	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	470 Adriatic Pkwy #1101	open
Cajun Fish Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2960 Eldorado Pkwy Ste 5	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2811 Craig Dr Ste 100	open
Daddy's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1800 Independence Pkwy Ste 120	open
Delaney's Irish Pub	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	6150 Eldorado Pkwy Ste 120	open
Eldorado Fine Cigars	Bar		2811 Craig Dr Ste 108	open
Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	1480 S Independence Pkwy	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service		140 S Custer Rd Ste 400	open
Kihoto	Bar		10137 Benwick Dr	open
La Masion de Henton	Bar		10600 Lariat Trail Dr	open
Mahi’s Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery		open
Mckinney Running Club	Bar		2108 Savannah Dr	open
Moonrise Lake Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6601 Mediterranean Dr Ste 6101	open
Muggzie's Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	2801 S Stonebridge Dr	open
New York Pizza and Pints New York Pizza and Pints - Carrollton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4900 Eldorado Pkwy Ste 140	open
Rice Lovers Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2960 el dorado Pkwy Ste 50	open
Rockfish Seafood & Grill Rockfish Seafood Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	2780 S Central Expy	open
Scotty P's Scotty P's - Garland at Firewheel Town Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2950 Craig Dr	open
Silver Thai Cuisine The Colony	Catering	Thai · Asian		open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2811 Craig Drive 102	open
Starwood Cafe Starwood Cafe - Wylie	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	2821 Craig Dr Ste 101	open
Stefania's Empanadas	Café	Latin American (other) · Coffee	1800 Independence Pkwy Ste 110	open
Stonebridge Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	6150 Eldorado Pkwy Ste 180	open
Stonebridge Ranch Country Club - Twenty-8 Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5901 Glen Oaks Dr	open
Stop-N-Go Gyros - Eldorado	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mediterranean · American	4550 Eldorado Pkwy Ste 103	open
Swig Swig	Bar		6080 Eldorado Parkway	open
The Manchurian Club - An Indo Chinese Concept	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	6675 Mediterranean Dr Ste 3120	open
Waterfront Grill - McKinney	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6601 Mediterranean Dr	open
Westridge Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		9055 n Cotton Ridge Rd	open
Yumofindiamckinney	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	1480 S Independence Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2017	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	13	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	15	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	14	7	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	15	7	3	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	20	8	5	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75072. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
75070	2.3 mi	170	2023
75035	4.6 mi	137	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.