BMIE Market 75076

Grayson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,989 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±882 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,270 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,378 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,448 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,919 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,665 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,321 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±243 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$267,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	50.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75076
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75076. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.8	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.4	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	19.1	19	25%	+4.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,989	67	40%	+27.0
Median household income (ACS)	76,919	58	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	3,270	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.0	72	25%	+18.1
Population (ACS)	7,989	67	20%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	76,919	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-20	13	50%	+6.5
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-27.3	10	20%	+2.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Seafood 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 6 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anchor Up Club & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		576 Highport Rd	open
Arroyo's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	81750 N 289	open
Arroyo’s Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		81750 N State Hwy 289	open
Barnacles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	290 Tanglewood Cir	open
Big Fish Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	633 Mill Creek Resort Rd	open
Cardinal Quickstop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	100 E FM 120	open
Commodore Room Tanglewood Tower Lounge	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	290 Tanglewood Cir	open
Dairy Mart	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	83352 N State Hwy 289	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	81750 TX-289	open
El Burrito Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	101 FM 120	open
El Guapo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	306 E FM-120	open
Frank's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	80841 TX-289	open
Gaime Day Grab & Go BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	TX-289	open
Get a Bite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	300 Lighthouse Dr	open
Harbor House Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	120 Texoma Harbor Dr	open
Highport BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	83493 TX-289	open
Hot'n Creamy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	700 FM 120	open
K Bar K Ranch	Bar · Specialty food shop		1636 Georgetown Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	83462 Hwy 289	open
MD305 Soulfood Catfish & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	African	11111	open
Mom and Pop Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	83493 TX-289	open
Mom's Cafe	Café	American · Coffee	317 W FM 120	open
Napoli's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	13015 N State Highway 289	open
Patsy's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		80841 N State Hwy 289	open
Pompanos Restaurant & Club	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	120 Texoma Harbor Dr	open
Pottsboro Sdi, Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		202 E FM 120	open
Red River Authority	Restaurant (service type not stated)		208 Sherman Dr	open
Roma's Italian Restaurant and Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	682 E FM-120	open
Schooner's Breakfast & Brunch	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar	Breakfast · American · Coffee	120 Texoma Harbor Dr	open
SKS Diamond Coast Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 E FM 120	open
Sloppy Joe’s Bar and Grill Texas	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		81750 N State Hwy 289	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service	American · Burgers	202 E Highway 120	open
Sonny O's Family BBQ	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	676 Highport Rd	open
Southern Crispy Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	315 FM 120	open
Sugar & Spice Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	213 FM 120	open
Taco N Madrezz #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	213 FM 120	open
Uncle B's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	400 Houston St B	open
Yacht Club	Bar			open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	15	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	15	9	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	16	11	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	11	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75076. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.