BMIE Market 75092

Grayson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,342 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,648 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,491 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±735 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,839 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,580 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,036 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,322 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$279,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	114.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75092
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+54.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+240.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75092. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.6	71	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.9	54	35%	+18.9
Market Momentum Score	27.6	28	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,342	88	40%	+35.1
Median household income (ACS)	68,036	44	40%	+17.6
Households (ACS)	12,491	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15	16	35%	+5.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6	88	25%	+22.0
Population (ACS)	28,342	88	20%	+17.5
Median household income (ACS)	68,036	44	20%	+8.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10.5	18	50%	+9.1
10-year restaurant growth	-15	16	30%	+4.8
20-year restaurant growth	54.6	69	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · American 10 · Mexican 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Bakery 10 · Dessert 9 · Quick service 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Go Hibachi & Sushi	Food truck	Japanese · Sushi	1728 S FM 1417	open
903 Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Delivery-focused	Dessert · Bakery	1721 N Woods St	open
Birrieria Chihuas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2007 W Taylor St	open
Blue Chip Cookies & Ice Cream Blue Chip Cookies & Ice Cream - Sherman, TX	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2121 N Heritage Pkwy d	open
Bruno's Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1411 W Houston St	open
Caney Creek Beer Garden	Bar			open
Carols Red Apron	Restaurant (service type not stated)		124 S Woods St	open
Casey's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2121 Fm 1417	open
Catrina's Cocina & Tequila Bar	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	306 E US Highway 82	open
Chaprl's Cafe	Café · Quick service	Coffee · American	1915 W Houston St	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service		3350 S US Hwy 75	open
Coffee Obsessed & Blessed	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	215 Sunset Blvd	open
Crooked Letter BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	220 Sunset Blvd	open
Dad's Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	1721 N Woods St	open
Danni's New Orleans Eatery, Home of All Authentic Menu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1417 W Houston St	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2000 N Travis St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1915 North Fm 1417	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		103 Sunset Blvd	open
DULCE MEXICO	Dessert	Mexican	1800 N Travis St	open
Eddie Mac's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2600 N Travis St	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	853 North Creek Dr.	open
Four Seasons Pickleball & Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4801 FM1417	open
Hot & Creamy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	717 W Lamar St	open
IFLY Tacos and Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	106 Sunset Blvd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		100 W Fm 1417	open
Joe Muggs Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3404 Town Ctr	open
Kiotee's Bumper Club	Bar		4401 W Houston St	open
La Placita Salvadoreña Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	1015 W Houston St	open
La Sierra Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2116 FM1417	open
Magic Smoke BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2600 N Travis St	open
McDonald's	Quick service		US Highway 75 S	open
MG's Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	1715 N Woods St	open
Mom's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1703 N Woods St	open
Momo's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2121 FM1417	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		837 E North Creek Dr	open
Palio's Pizza Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	865 N Creek Dr	open
Pasteles de Zoila	Bakery	Bakery	2300 N Shannon St	open
Pho Shi Bowl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	221 Sunset Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4160 Town Center Rd	open
Pizza Inn Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2121 N Heritage Pkwy	open
Preston Club	Bar			open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3700 N. HWY 75	open
Señor Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4000 N Hwy 75	open
Sippin Social	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	2007 W Taylor St	open
Soup Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 E Taylor St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	500 N Highland Ave Ste 105	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	4160 Town Ctr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	100 E Taylor St	open
Sugar Fixins Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2005 S Sherbrooke Ct	open
Super June	Coffee shop	Coffee	8619 S Wolcott Ave	open
Taqueria D'Rosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2007 W TAYLOR St	open
Tea and Tales boba café	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	123 Sunset Blvd	open
Teriyaki Jar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	114 S Woods St	open
The Java Stop Cafe	Café	Coffee	5700 N FM 1417	open
The Knollwood Library Company , Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5147 N Travis St	open
The Library Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5147 N Travis St	open
Tracks Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	109 N Woods St	open
Wanna Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	706 W Houston St	open
Wildflower Cottage Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1714 N Highland Ave	open
Kathleen's Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	1913 N Travis St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	12	2	9	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	8	2	6	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	15	7	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	5	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	15	6	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	6	9	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	20	17	6	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	19	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	20	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	7	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	22	20	10	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	22	20	9	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	21	19	8	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	8	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	19	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	19	17	6	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	18	6	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	4	8	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75092. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
76268	4.1 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.