BMIE Market 75246

Dallas County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,286 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±431 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±237 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,770 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,415 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,555 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,086 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±281 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$447,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75246
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	39.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 10–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	38 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75246. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	37.4	37	40%	+15.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34.2	34	35%	+12.0
Market Momentum Score	42.4	42	25%	+10.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,286	47	40%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	53,555	20	40%	+7.8
Households (ACS)	1,246	53	20%	+10.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	52.5	9	25%	+2.3
Population (ACS)	2,286	47	20%	+9.5
Median household income (ACS)	53,555	20	20%	+3.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

Mexican 11 · Sandwiches 8 · Latin American (other) 7 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 10 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Other 4 · Bakery 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aca Las Tortas	Other	Sandwiches · Mexican · Latin American (other)	4420 Worth St	open
Alex Tacos To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	820 N Fitzhugh Ave	open
Andrea's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4816 Gaston Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	3500 Gaston Ave J.G. LaHair @ Baylor Dallas Ed	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3921 Gaston Ave	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4210 Gaston Avenue	open
Cinnabon at Schlotzsky's Gaston Ave Cinnabon	Quick service		3903 Gaston Avenue	open
Divino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	708 S Peak St	open
Doda Burger & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sushi · Japanese	4029 Crutcher St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4420 Gaston Avenue	open
El Hoyo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4822 Gaston Ave	open
El Trompo loco	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4420 Worth St	open
El viejon Eloteria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4121 Gaston Ave	open
Espumoso Empanada and Espresso Bar Espumoso Caffè Baylor Empanada + Espresso Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Latin American (other)	3417 Gaston Ave #130	open
Freshii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	3600 Gaston Ave Ste 107	open
Gaston Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4837 Gaston Ave	open
Grabbagreen DFW	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	3417 Gaston Ave. Suite 120	open
Invasion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	4029 Crutcher St	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	4201 Gaston Ave Ste. 112	open
Juju's Wings and Daiquiri	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4201 Gaston Ave #104	open
La Potosina La Potosina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4816 Gaston Ave	open
Lenny's Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	4201 Gaston Ave	open
Los Dos Reales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	108 N Fitzhugh Ave	open
Lucky's Hot Chicken	Quick service	American · Chicken / wings	4505 Gaston Ave	open
Manhattan Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4201 Gaston Ave Ste 104	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3802 Gaston Ave	open
Petra And The Beast	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 N Haskell Ave	open
Potbelly Potbelly Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	3417 Gaston Ave	open
Pupusas To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	820 N Fitzhugh Ave	open
Schlotzsky's Schlotzsky's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3903 Gaston Ave	open
Smoky Rose BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3417 Gaston Ave Ste 120	open
Ssahm BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4414 Worth St Apt 5	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	4025 Gaston Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4422 Gaston Ave	open
Taco Enamorado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	515 N Carroll Ave suite B	open
Taqueria La Pasadita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	205 N Carroll Ave	open
Todo Sababa	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	4308 Gaston Ave	open
Trompo East Dallas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4201 Gaston Ave	open
Truett Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3500 Worth St	open
USA Donuts and Croissants	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	4425 Gaston Ave	open
Which Wich Superior Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	3500 Gaston Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	11	6	5	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	14	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	15	12	7	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	12	5	6	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	15	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	10	4	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	14	11	4	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	17	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	17	11	3	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	18	12	3	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	11	2	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	18	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	20	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	19	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	9	2	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	12	3	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	16	6	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	12	3	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	12	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75246. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
75226	0.7 mi	85	2023
75204	1.2 mi	110	2023
75223	1.6 mi	14	2023
75201	1.6 mi	145	2023
75270	1.9 mi	6	2023
75202	2.0 mi	53	2023
75210	2.1 mi	10	2023
75219	2.7 mi	119	2023
75206	2.7 mi	200	2023
75207	2.8 mi	49	2023
75215	2.8 mi	23	2023
75214	3.1 mi	68	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.